La escuela de los momios

Leuven v Genk

Inicio: 2026-05-23 18:45 UTC

Final: Leuven 0–2 Genk

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Leuven (Local)

Predicción 22.70%4.40momio equitativo
EV +0.120%
Ventaja +0.027%
Kelly +0.035%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.00%22.74%22.76%23.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.054.104.4127.78%24.72%24.39%22.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Genk (Visitante)

Predicción 54.33%1.84momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -2.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.32%54.23%54.29%55.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.711.711.8062.11%58.52%58.48%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.97%4.35momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.284%
Kelly -0.370%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.30%23.03%22.95%25.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.964.004.3030.77%25.26%25.00%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet4.41I 22.68%NM 22.00%EV +0.120%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -1.22%E -0.284%K -0.370%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:39
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%EV -2.38%E -0.553%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.83%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%EV -2.38%E -0.553%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.83%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:40
Pinnacle4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.06%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.39%EV -2.83%E -0.669%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:40
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:39
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:40
BetOnline.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
LowVig.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
BetAnything4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:38
Marathon Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.26%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -4.67%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:40
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:39
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.47%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:37
Betsson4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:39
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:40
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:39
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:36
Suprabets4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:37
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:39
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 18:40
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 18:40
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:39
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:39
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:39
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:39
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:40
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.47%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -16.15%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.33%EV -9.82%E -5.92%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 18:40
Betclic (FR)3.98I 25.13%NM 22.82%EV -9.64%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.07%EV -8.73%E -5.20%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.11%EV -9.72%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:40
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.86%E -3.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 18:40
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.86%E -3.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 18:39
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.86%E -3.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -15.00%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 18:40
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 18:39
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -11.45%E -7.02%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.59%E -3.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -8.73%E -5.20%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 18:39
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.59%E -3.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -8.73%E -5.20%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 18:40
PMU (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -12.59%E -3.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.72%EV -8.73%E -5.20%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -16.15%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.73%E -3.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.86%EV -9.82%E -5.92%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -16.15%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 18:39
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.73%E -3.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.86%EV -9.82%E -5.92%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -16.15%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 18:40
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.73%E -3.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -12.54%E -7.79%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-23 18:39
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.86%E -3.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.10%EV -18.27%E -5.07%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 51.32%EV -11.99%E -7.40%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.58%EV -25.34%E -7.80%K -11.26%G +0.000%20.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 23.43%1.94I 51.55%NM 53.14%4.40I 22.73%NM 23.43%-3.0%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%0.5%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%0.5%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-05-23 18:40
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.8%2026-05-23 18:40