L’École des cotes

Leuven v Genk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 18:45 UTC

Score final : Leuven 0–2 Genk

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Leuven (Local)

Prévision 22.70%4.40cote équitable
EV +0.120%
Avantage +0.027%
Kelly +0.035%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.00%22.74%22.76%23.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.054.104.4127.78%24.72%24.39%22.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Genk (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.33%1.84cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -2.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.32%54.23%54.29%55.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.711.711.8062.11%58.52%58.48%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.97%4.35cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.284%
Kelly -0.370%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.30%23.03%22.95%25.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.964.004.3030.77%25.26%25.00%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.41I 22.68%NM 22.00%EV +0.120%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -1.22%E -0.284%K -0.370%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:39
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%EV -2.38%E -0.553%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.83%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%EV -2.38%E -0.553%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.83%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:40
Pinnacle4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.06%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.39%EV -2.83%E -0.669%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:40
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:39
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:40
BetOnline.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
LowVig.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
BetAnything4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:38
Marathon Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.26%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -4.67%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:40
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:39
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.47%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:37
Betsson4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:39
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.52%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:40
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:39
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:36
Suprabets4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:37
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 18:39
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 18:40
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 18:40
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:39
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:39
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:39
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:39
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:40
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.47%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -16.15%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 18:29
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.33%EV -9.82%E -5.92%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 18:40
Betclic (FR)3.98I 25.13%NM 22.82%EV -9.64%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.07%EV -8.73%E -5.20%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.11%EV -9.72%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:40
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.86%E -3.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 18:40
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.86%E -3.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 18:39
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.86%E -3.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -15.00%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 18:40
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 18:39
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -11.45%E -7.02%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.59%E -3.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -8.73%E -5.20%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 18:39
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.59%E -3.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -8.73%E -5.20%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 18:40
PMU (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -12.59%E -3.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.72%EV -8.73%E -5.20%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -16.15%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.73%E -3.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.86%EV -9.82%E -5.92%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -16.15%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 18:39
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.73%E -3.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.86%EV -9.82%E -5.92%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -16.15%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 18:40
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.73%E -3.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -12.54%E -7.79%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.71%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-23 18:39
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.86%E -3.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.10%EV -18.27%E -5.07%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 51.32%EV -11.99%E -7.40%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.58%EV -25.34%E -7.80%K -11.26%G +0.000%20.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 23.43%1.94I 51.55%NM 53.14%4.40I 22.73%NM 23.43%-3.0%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%0.5%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%0.5%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-05-23 18:40
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.8%2026-05-23 18:40