StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

KV Mechelen v Union Saint-Gilloise

Matchstart: 2026-04-12 11:30 UTC

Slutresultat: KV Mechelen 0–1 Union Saint-Gilloise

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

KV Mechelen (Hemma)

Prognos 16.89%5.92rättvist odds
EV +3.02%
Fördel +0.496%
Kelly +0.593%
Tillväxt +0.018%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.91%16.93%16.98%18.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.505.485.506.1022.22%18.24%18.18%16.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Union Saint-Gilloise (Borta)

Prognos 58.05%1.72rättvist odds
EV -4.22%
Fördel -2.55%
Kelly -6.48%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.54%57.94%58.03%59.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.521.591.601.6565.79%62.70%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.06%3.99rättvist odds
EV -2.27%
Fördel -0.581%
Kelly -0.782%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.54%25.13%24.99%26.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.683.703.9032.26%27.18%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: KV Mechelen (Hemma): 16.89%; Union Saint-Gilloise (Borta): 58.05%; Oavgjort: 25.06%. För KV Mechelen (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.92. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.02%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
ATG (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +3.02%E +0.496%K +0.593%G +0.018%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.19%EV -4.80%E -2.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -2.27%E -0.581%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +3.02%E +0.496%K +0.593%G +0.018%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.19%EV -4.80%E -2.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -2.27%E -0.581%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Pinnacle🎯6.03I 16.58%NM 15.97%EV +1.84%E +0.305%K +0.366%G +0.007%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.08%EV -5.38%E -3.30%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.95%EV -3.27%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +1.33%E +0.222%K +0.267%G +0.004%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.29%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.52%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +1.33%E +0.222%K +0.267%G +0.004%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.29%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.52%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:00
1xBet🎯5.83I 17.15%NM 16.40%EV -1.54%E -0.264%K -0.318%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.64%EV -5.38%E -3.30%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.96%EV -4.02%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Casumo🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
betPARX🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.19%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 11:00
BetRivers🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.19%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Grosvenor🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.35%EV -9.44%E -6.05%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
TABtouch🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.35%EV -9.44%E -6.05%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -2.89%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.55%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Everygame🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -2.89%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 10:59
Bet Victor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -2.89%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:59
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -2.89%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.00%EV -7.70%E -4.84%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -2.89%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -9.44%E -6.05%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Suprabets🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.44%EV -3.73%E -0.655%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.74%EV -8.78%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 10:56
Marathon Bet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -3.73%E -0.655%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.68%EV -7.70%E -4.84%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -5.42%E -0.968%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.93%EV -10.60%E -6.88%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -5.42%E -0.968%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.25%EV -11.76%E -7.74%K -22.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -5.42%E -0.968%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.25%EV -11.76%E -7.74%K -22.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 11:00
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.22%E -2.55%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 11:00
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:59
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 11:00
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
BetUS🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.80%E -2.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 11:00
BetAnything🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.80%E -2.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Betclic (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.12%EV -7.70%E -4.84%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.77%EV -6.53%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 10:57
Unibet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.28%E -5.24%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 10:59
NordicBet🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.52%EV -9.64%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.80%EV -4.22%E -2.55%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betsson🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.52%EV -9.64%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.80%EV -4.22%E -2.55%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Bovada🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -12.18%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -4.80%E -2.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 09:23
NetBet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -12.18%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.23%EV -10.02%E -6.46%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -13.54%E -3.93%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -13.87%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -8.28%E -5.24%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.87%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.87%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 11:00
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 08:50
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:55
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.95%EV -11.18%E -7.31%K -21.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -14.80%E -4.35%K -6.17%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -17.24%E -3.52%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -10.60%E -6.88%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 18.54%EV -24.00%E -5.33%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 54.54%EV -11.18%E -7.31%K -21.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.92%EV -22.32%E -7.20%K -10.63%G +0.000%19.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%1.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.71%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-04-12 11:00