Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KV Mechelen v Union Saint-Gilloise

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 11:30 UTC

Score final : KV Mechelen 0–1 Union Saint-Gilloise

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KV Mechelen (Local)

Prévision 16.89%5.92cote équitable
EV +3.02%
Avantage +0.496%
Kelly +0.593%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 6.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.91%16.93%16.98%18.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.485.506.1022.22%18.24%18.18%16.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.05%1.72cote équitable
EV -4.22%
Avantage -2.55%
Kelly -6.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.54%57.94%58.03%59.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.591.601.6565.79%62.70%62.50%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.06%3.99cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.581%
Kelly -0.782%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.54%25.13%24.99%26.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.683.703.9032.26%27.18%27.03%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : KV Mechelen (Local) : 16.89% ; Union Saint-Gilloise (Visiteur) : 58.05% ; Match nul : 25.06%. Pour KV Mechelen (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.92. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.10, soit une espérance positive de +3.02%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +3.02%E +0.496%K +0.593%G +0.018%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.19%EV -4.80%E -2.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -2.27%E -0.581%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +3.02%E +0.496%K +0.593%G +0.018%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.19%EV -4.80%E -2.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -2.27%E -0.581%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Pinnacle🎯6.03I 16.58%NM 15.97%EV +1.84%E +0.305%K +0.366%G +0.007%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.08%EV -5.38%E -3.30%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.95%EV -3.27%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +1.33%E +0.222%K +0.267%G +0.004%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.29%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.52%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +1.33%E +0.222%K +0.267%G +0.004%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.29%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.52%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:00
1xBet🎯5.83I 17.15%NM 16.40%EV -1.54%E -0.264%K -0.318%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.64%EV -5.38%E -3.30%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.96%EV -4.02%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Casumo🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
betPARX🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.19%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 11:00
BetRivers🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.19%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Grosvenor🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.35%EV -9.44%E -6.05%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
TABtouch🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.35%EV -9.44%E -6.05%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -2.89%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.55%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Everygame🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -2.89%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 10:59
Bet Victor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -2.89%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:59
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -2.89%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.00%EV -7.70%E -4.84%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -2.89%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -9.44%E -6.05%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Suprabets🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.44%EV -3.73%E -0.655%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.74%EV -8.78%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 10:56
Marathon Bet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -3.73%E -0.655%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.68%EV -7.70%E -4.84%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -5.42%E -0.968%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.93%EV -10.60%E -6.88%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -5.42%E -0.968%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.25%EV -11.76%E -7.74%K -22.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -5.42%E -0.968%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.25%EV -11.76%E -7.74%K -22.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 11:00
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.22%E -2.55%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 11:00
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:59
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 11:00
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
BetUS🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.80%E -2.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 11:00
BetAnything🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.80%E -2.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Betclic (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.12%EV -7.70%E -4.84%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.77%EV -6.53%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 10:57
Unibet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.28%E -5.24%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 10:59
NordicBet🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.52%EV -9.64%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.80%EV -4.22%E -2.55%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betsson🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.52%EV -9.64%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.80%EV -4.22%E -2.55%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Bovada🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -12.18%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -4.80%E -2.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 09:23
NetBet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -12.18%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.23%EV -10.02%E -6.46%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -13.54%E -3.93%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -13.87%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -8.28%E -5.24%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.87%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.87%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 11:00
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 08:50
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:55
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.95%EV -11.18%E -7.31%K -21.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -14.80%E -4.35%K -6.17%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -17.24%E -3.52%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -10.60%E -6.88%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 18.54%EV -24.00%E -5.33%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 54.54%EV -11.18%E -7.31%K -21.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.92%EV -22.32%E -7.20%K -10.63%G +0.000%19.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%1.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.71%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-04-12 11:00