A Escola das Odds

KV Mechelen v Union Saint-Gilloise

Início: 2026-04-12 11:30 UTC

Final: KV Mechelen 0–1 Union Saint-Gilloise

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

KV Mechelen (Local)

Previsão 16.89%5.92odd justa
EV +3.02%
Vantagem +0.496%
Kelly +0.593%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.91%16.93%16.98%18.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.485.506.1022.22%18.24%18.18%16.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visitante)

Previsão 58.05%1.72odd justa
EV -4.22%
Vantagem -2.55%
Kelly -6.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.54%57.94%58.03%59.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.521.591.601.6565.79%62.70%62.50%60.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.06%3.99odd justa
EV -2.27%
Vantagem -0.581%
Kelly -0.782%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.54%25.13%24.99%26.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.683.703.9032.26%27.18%27.03%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +3.02%E +0.496%K +0.593%G +0.018%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.19%EV -4.80%E -2.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -2.27%E -0.581%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +3.02%E +0.496%K +0.593%G +0.018%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.19%EV -4.80%E -2.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -2.27%E -0.581%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Pinnacle6.03I 16.58%NM 15.97%EV +1.84%E +0.305%K +0.366%G +0.007%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.08%EV -5.38%E -3.30%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.95%EV -3.27%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +1.33%E +0.222%K +0.267%G +0.004%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.29%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.52%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (NL)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +1.33%E +0.222%K +0.267%G +0.004%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.29%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.52%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:00
1xBet5.83I 17.15%NM 16.40%EV -1.54%E -0.264%K -0.318%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.64%EV -5.38%E -3.30%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.96%EV -4.02%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.19%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 11:00
BetRivers5.80I 17.24%NM 16.02%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.19%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Grosvenor5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.35%EV -9.44%E -6.05%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
TABtouch5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -2.04%E -0.352%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.35%EV -9.44%E -6.05%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Fanatics5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -2.89%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.55%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Everygame5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -2.89%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 10:59
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -2.89%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:59
theScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -2.89%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.00%EV -7.70%E -4.84%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -2.89%E -0.502%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -9.44%E -6.05%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Suprabets5.70I 17.54%NM 16.44%EV -3.73%E -0.655%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.74%EV -8.78%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 10:56
Marathon Bet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -3.73%E -0.655%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.68%EV -7.70%E -4.84%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 11:00
PMU (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -5.42%E -0.968%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.93%EV -10.60%E -6.88%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 11:00
LiveScore Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -5.42%E -0.968%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.25%EV -11.76%E -7.74%K -22.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -5.42%E -0.968%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.25%EV -11.76%E -7.74%K -22.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 11:00
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.22%E -2.55%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 11:00
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:59
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 11:00
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
BetUS5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.80%E -2.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 11:00
BetAnything5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.80%E -2.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Betclic (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.12%EV -7.70%E -4.84%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.77%EV -6.53%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 10:57
Unibet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.28%E -5.24%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 10:59
NordicBet5.35I 18.69%NM 17.52%EV -9.64%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.80%EV -4.22%E -2.55%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betsson5.35I 18.69%NM 17.52%EV -9.64%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.80%EV -4.22%E -2.55%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Bovada5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -12.18%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -4.80%E -2.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 09:23
NetBet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -12.18%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.23%EV -10.02%E -6.46%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -13.54%E -3.93%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 10:05
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -13.87%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -8.28%E -5.24%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.87%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.87%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 11:00
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -5.96%E -3.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 08:50
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.12%E -4.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:50
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:54
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -6.54%E -4.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:55
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.86%E -5.64%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -15.56%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.95%EV -11.18%E -7.31%K -21.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -14.80%E -4.35%K -6.17%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -17.24%E -3.52%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -10.60%E -6.88%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.54%EV -24.00%E -5.33%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 54.54%EV -11.18%E -7.31%K -21.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.92%EV -22.32%E -7.20%K -10.63%G +0.000%19.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%1.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.71%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-04-12 11:00