La scuola delle quote

KV Mechelen v Gent

Inizio: 2026-05-03 11:30 UTC

Finale: KV Mechelen 1–0 Gent

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

KV Mechelen (Casa)

Previsione 35.20%2.84quota equa
EV -1.43%
Vantaggio -0.512%
Kelly -0.796%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.28%35.21%35.24%35.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.652.652.8040.00%37.75%37.74%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gent (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.84%2.64quota equa
EV -3.13%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.35%37.82%37.85%38.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.452.452.5645.45%40.85%40.82%39.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.96%3.71quota equa
EV -2.95%
Vantaggio -0.820%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.95%26.97%26.91%28.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.413.403.6034.72%29.36%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%EV -1.43%E -0.512%K -0.796%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.04%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.32%EV -4.30%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 10:50
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%EV -1.43%E -0.512%K -0.796%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.04%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.32%EV -4.30%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 10:50
Pinnacle2.75I 36.36%NM 35.18%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.79%EV -3.13%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.03%EV -3.49%E -0.975%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 11:25
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 11:25
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -3.19%E -1.16%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 10:30
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.98%EV -3.90%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.74%EV -4.27%E -1.69%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 11:25
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 11:15
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.39%EV -4.64%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:25
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.39%EV -4.64%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:55
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 11:00
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:55
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 11:25
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 11:25
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 11:25
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 10:55
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.95%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 10:55
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.94%EV -6.01%E -2.25%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.62%EV -6.16%E -2.48%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:24
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 11:15
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 11:15
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 11:15
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:18
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:15
Suprabets2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.57%EV -5.78%E -2.32%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 11:13
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 10:20
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 10:15
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 10:16
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 11:25
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 11:15
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:25
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:25
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -6.71%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 11:15
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -7.42%E -2.82%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 11:25
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.77%E -2.97%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:18
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.77%E -2.97%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 11:20
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.77%E -2.97%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 11:25
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.77%E -2.97%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 11:20
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.77%E -2.97%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 11:20
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.95%E -0.820%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 10:50
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 11:15
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 11:25
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 10:55
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.74%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 11:10
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.47%E -3.26%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.74%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 11:10
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.23%E -4.01%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 11:15
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.23%E -4.01%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 11:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.99%E -4.80%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 11:14
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -11.99%E -4.80%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 11:15
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -11.99%E -4.80%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%EV -11.08%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 11:25
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -11.99%E -4.80%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -12.97%E -5.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-03 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.28%EV -11.99%E -4.80%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -16.75%E -7.61%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.89%EV -22.36%E -7.76%K -11.89%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-03 11:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.95%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.76%0.1%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.3%2026-05-03 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.3%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.3%2026-05-03 11:25
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-05-03 11:25
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-05-03 11:05