A Escola das Odds

KV Mechelen v Club Brugge

Início: 2026-05-21 18:30 UTC

Final: KV Mechelen 2–2 Club Brugge

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

KV Mechelen (Local)

Previsão 12.64%7.91odd justa
EV +7.43%
Vantagem +0.874%
Kelly +0.990%
Crescimento +0.074%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.41%12.65%12.55%13.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.507.327.008.5015.38%13.66%14.29%11.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Club Brugge (Visitante)

Previsão 70.20%1.42odd justa
EV -1.72%
Vantagem -1.23%
Kelly -4.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.12%70.17%70.33%71.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.321.331.4080.00%75.82%75.19%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 17.16%5.83odd justa
EV -0.974%
Vantagem -0.169%
Kelly -0.204%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.13%17.18%17.12%19.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.205.285.355.7723.81%18.94%18.69%17.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +7.43%E +0.874%K +0.990%G +0.074%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -4.53%E -3.33%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV -3.89%E -0.695%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 18:00
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +7.43%E +0.874%K +0.990%G +0.074%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -4.53%E -3.33%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV -3.89%E -0.695%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 18:00
Pinnacle8.12I 12.32%NM 11.87%EV +2.62%E +0.323%K +0.369%G +0.010%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.42%EV -5.23%E -3.87%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.71%EV -0.974%E -0.169%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 18:20
Fanatics8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -8.04%E -6.14%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -1.32%E -0.229%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 16:00
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -9.04%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:00
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -9.04%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:00
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -9.04%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:00
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -9.04%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:00
theScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -8.04%E -6.14%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 18:10
1xBet7.89I 12.67%NM 12.29%EV -0.282%E -0.036%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.27%EV -1.72%E -1.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-21 18:20
Coolbet7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -2.05%E -0.265%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.91%EV -7.34%E -5.56%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 18:10
Betr (AU)7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -2.05%E -0.265%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.91%EV -7.34%E -5.56%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 18:10
NordicBet7.70I 12.99%NM 12.22%EV -2.68%E -0.349%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -8.18%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 18:19
Betsson7.70I 12.99%NM 12.22%EV -2.68%E -0.349%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -8.18%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Suprabets7.70I 12.99%NM 12.15%EV -2.68%E -0.349%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.85%EV -7.34%E -5.56%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 18:18
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 14:30
PointsBet (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:10
Everygame7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:19
Marathon Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.13%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -8.18%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 18:20
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.90%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 18:19
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -7.34%E -5.56%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -10.76%E -2.07%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 18:00
betfred_uk7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 18:10
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -7.34%E -5.56%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.47%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 18:00
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.25%E -9.80%K -49.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-21 17:09
Betclic (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -8.37%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -3.89%E -0.695%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.89%EV -4.53%E -3.33%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -1.32%E -0.229%K -0.277%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 17:49
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.89%EV -4.53%E -3.33%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -1.32%E -0.229%K -0.277%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -4.53%E -3.33%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 18:20
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 17:49
BetOnline.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 18:20
LowVig.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 18:20
BetAnything7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 18:19
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 17:59
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 18:00
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.73%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -2.17%E -0.382%K -0.463%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 12:09
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 18:10
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 18:19
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 18:10
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 18:10
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-21 18:00
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-21 18:00
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-21 18:00
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-21 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.44%E -7.32%K -32.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-21 18:00
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -9.44%E -7.32%K -32.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.62%E -3.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-21 17:50
PMU (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -10.15%E -7.93%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -15.90%E -3.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-21 18:00
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.41%EV -10.85%E -8.54%K -40.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.99%EV -15.90%E -3.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-21 18:00
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.41%EV -10.85%E -8.54%K -40.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.99%EV -15.90%E -3.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-21 18:00
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.24%EV -12.25%E -9.80%K -49.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -12.47%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-21 18:20
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.39%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 69.36%EV -12.25%E -9.80%K -49.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.25%EV -18.48%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-21 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -14.06%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.04%EV -5.23%E -3.87%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Unibet (FR)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.24%EV -14.06%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.78%EV -9.44%E -7.32%K -32.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.98%EV -9.04%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-21 18:10
Winamax (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.14%EV -9.44%E -7.32%K -32.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.45%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-21 12:09
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -17.85%E -2.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 12.91%EV -17.85%E -2.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 67.12%EV -12.25%E -9.80%K -49.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.98%EV -27.92%E -6.65%K -8.72%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Matchbook8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.86%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.6%2026-05-21 18:20
Kalshi9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%2.1%2026-05-21 13:40