La escuela de los momios

KV Mechelen v Club Brugge

Inicio: 2026-05-21 18:30 UTC

Final: KV Mechelen 2–2 Club Brugge

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

KV Mechelen (Local)

Predicción 12.64%7.91momio equitativo
EV +7.43%
Ventaja +0.874%
Kelly +0.990%
Crecimiento +0.074%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.41%12.65%12.55%13.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.327.008.5015.38%13.66%14.29%11.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Club Brugge (Visitante)

Predicción 70.20%1.42momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -4.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.12%70.17%70.33%71.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.321.331.4080.00%75.82%75.19%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 17.16%5.83momio equitativo
EV -0.974%
Ventaja -0.169%
Kelly -0.204%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.13%17.18%17.12%19.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.205.285.355.7723.81%18.94%18.69%17.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +7.43%E +0.874%K +0.990%G +0.074%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -4.53%E -3.33%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV -3.89%E -0.695%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 18:00
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +7.43%E +0.874%K +0.990%G +0.074%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -4.53%E -3.33%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV -3.89%E -0.695%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 18:00
Pinnacle8.12I 12.32%NM 11.87%EV +2.62%E +0.323%K +0.369%G +0.010%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.42%EV -5.23%E -3.87%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.71%EV -0.974%E -0.169%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 18:20
Fanatics8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -8.04%E -6.14%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -1.32%E -0.229%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 16:00
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -9.04%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:00
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -9.04%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:00
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -9.04%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:00
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -9.04%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:00
theScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -8.04%E -6.14%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 18:10
1xBet7.89I 12.67%NM 12.29%EV -0.282%E -0.036%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.27%EV -1.72%E -1.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-21 18:20
Coolbet7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -2.05%E -0.265%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.91%EV -7.34%E -5.56%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 18:10
Betr (AU)7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -2.05%E -0.265%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.91%EV -7.34%E -5.56%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 18:10
NordicBet7.70I 12.99%NM 12.22%EV -2.68%E -0.349%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -8.18%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 18:19
Betsson7.70I 12.99%NM 12.22%EV -2.68%E -0.349%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -8.18%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Suprabets7.70I 12.99%NM 12.15%EV -2.68%E -0.349%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.85%EV -7.34%E -5.56%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 18:18
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 14:30
PointsBet (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:10
Everygame7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:19
Marathon Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.13%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -8.18%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 18:20
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.90%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 18:19
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -7.34%E -5.56%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -10.76%E -2.07%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 18:00
betfred_uk7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 18:10
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -7.34%E -5.56%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.47%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 18:00
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.25%E -9.80%K -49.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-21 17:09
Betclic (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -8.37%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -3.89%E -0.695%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.89%EV -4.53%E -3.33%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -1.32%E -0.229%K -0.277%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 17:49
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.89%EV -4.53%E -3.33%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -1.32%E -0.229%K -0.277%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -4.53%E -3.33%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 18:20
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 17:49
BetOnline.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 18:20
LowVig.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 18:20
BetAnything7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 18:19
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 17:59
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 18:00
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.73%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -2.17%E -0.382%K -0.463%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 12:09
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 18:10
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 18:19
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 18:10
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 18:10
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-21 18:00
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-21 18:00
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-21 18:00
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-21 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.44%E -7.32%K -32.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-21 18:00
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -9.44%E -7.32%K -32.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.62%E -3.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-21 17:50
PMU (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -10.15%E -7.93%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -15.90%E -3.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-21 18:00
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.41%EV -10.85%E -8.54%K -40.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.99%EV -15.90%E -3.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-21 18:00
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.41%EV -10.85%E -8.54%K -40.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.99%EV -15.90%E -3.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-21 18:00
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.24%EV -12.25%E -9.80%K -49.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -12.47%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-21 18:20
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.39%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 69.36%EV -12.25%E -9.80%K -49.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.25%EV -18.48%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-21 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -14.06%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.04%EV -5.23%E -3.87%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Unibet (FR)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.24%EV -14.06%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.78%EV -9.44%E -7.32%K -32.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.98%EV -9.04%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-21 18:10
Winamax (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.14%EV -9.44%E -7.32%K -32.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.45%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-21 12:09
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -17.85%E -2.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 12.91%EV -17.85%E -2.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 67.12%EV -12.25%E -9.80%K -49.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.98%EV -27.92%E -6.65%K -8.72%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Matchbook8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.86%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.6%2026-05-21 18:20
Kalshi9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%2.1%2026-05-21 13:40