L’École des cotes

KV Mechelen v Club Brugge

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-21 18:30 UTC

Score final : KV Mechelen 2–2 Club Brugge

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

KV Mechelen (Local)

Prévision 12.64%7.91cote équitable
EV +7.43%
Avantage +0.874%
Kelly +0.990%
Croissance +0.074%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.41%12.65%12.55%13.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.327.008.5015.38%13.66%14.29%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Club Brugge (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.20%1.42cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -4.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.12%70.17%70.33%71.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.321.331.4080.00%75.82%75.19%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.16%5.83cote équitable
EV -0.974%
Avantage -0.169%
Kelly -0.204%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.13%17.18%17.12%19.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.205.285.355.7723.81%18.94%18.69%17.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +7.43%E +0.874%K +0.990%G +0.074%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -4.53%E -3.33%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV -3.89%E -0.695%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 18:00
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +7.43%E +0.874%K +0.990%G +0.074%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -4.53%E -3.33%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV -3.89%E -0.695%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 18:00
Pinnacle8.12I 12.32%NM 11.87%EV +2.62%E +0.323%K +0.369%G +0.010%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.42%EV -5.23%E -3.87%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.71%EV -0.974%E -0.169%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 18:20
Fanatics8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -8.04%E -6.14%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -1.32%E -0.229%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 16:00
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -9.04%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:00
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -9.04%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:00
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -9.04%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:00
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -9.04%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:00
theScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +1.11%E +0.138%K +0.158%G +0.002%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -8.04%E -6.14%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 18:10
1xBet7.89I 12.67%NM 12.29%EV -0.282%E -0.036%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.27%EV -1.72%E -1.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-21 18:20
Coolbet7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -2.05%E -0.265%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.91%EV -7.34%E -5.56%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 18:10
Betr (AU)7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -2.05%E -0.265%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.91%EV -7.34%E -5.56%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 18:10
NordicBet7.70I 12.99%NM 12.22%EV -2.68%E -0.349%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -8.18%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 18:19
Betsson7.70I 12.99%NM 12.22%EV -2.68%E -0.349%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -8.18%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Suprabets7.70I 12.99%NM 12.15%EV -2.68%E -0.349%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.85%EV -7.34%E -5.56%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 18:18
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 14:30
PointsBet (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:10
Everygame7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:19
Marathon Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.13%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -8.18%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 18:20
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.90%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 18:19
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -7.34%E -5.56%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -10.76%E -2.07%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 18:00
betfred_uk7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 18:10
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -7.34%E -5.56%K -22.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.47%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 18:00
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -5.21%E -0.695%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.25%E -9.80%K -49.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-21 17:09
Betclic (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -8.37%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -3.89%E -0.695%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.89%EV -4.53%E -3.33%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -1.32%E -0.229%K -0.277%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 17:49
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.89%EV -4.53%E -3.33%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -1.32%E -0.229%K -0.277%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -4.53%E -3.33%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 18:20
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 17:49
BetOnline.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 18:20
LowVig.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 18:20
BetAnything7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -5.93%E -4.43%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 18:19
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 17:59
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 18:00
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.73%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -2.17%E -0.382%K -0.463%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 12:09
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 18:10
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 18:19
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 18:10
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.64%E -4.99%K -20.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 18:10
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-21 18:00
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-21 18:00
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-21 18:00
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-21 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.44%E -7.32%K -32.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-21 18:00
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -9.44%E -7.32%K -32.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.62%E -3.67%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-21 17:50
PMU (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -10.15%E -7.93%K -36.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -15.90%E -3.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-21 18:00
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.41%EV -10.85%E -8.54%K -40.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.99%EV -15.90%E -3.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-21 18:00
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.41%EV -10.85%E -8.54%K -40.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.99%EV -15.90%E -3.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-21 18:00
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.24%EV -12.25%E -9.80%K -49.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -12.47%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-21 18:20
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.39%EV -11.53%E -1.65%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 69.36%EV -12.25%E -9.80%K -49.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.25%EV -18.48%E -3.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-21 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -14.06%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.04%EV -5.23%E -3.87%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -7.32%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Unibet (FR)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.24%EV -14.06%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.78%EV -9.44%E -7.32%K -32.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.98%EV -9.04%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-21 18:10
Winamax (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -14.69%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.14%EV -9.44%E -7.32%K -32.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.45%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-21 12:09
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -17.85%E -2.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -8.74%E -6.72%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 12.91%EV -17.85%E -2.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 67.12%EV -12.25%E -9.80%K -49.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.98%EV -27.92%E -6.65%K -8.72%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Matchbook8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.86%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.6%2026-05-21 18:20
Kalshi9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%2.1%2026-05-21 13:40