The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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KV Mechelen v Club Brugge

2026-11-21 19:45 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KV Mechelen (Local)

Prediction 14.70%6.80fair odd
EV +2.93%
Edge +0.418%
Kelly +0.488%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.51%14.67%14.74%16.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.136.307.0018.87%16.32%15.87%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Club Brugge (Visit)

Prediction 67.09%1.49fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -2.84%
Kelly -9.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.44%67.00%67.08%68.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.371.401.4379.37%72.95%71.68%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.21%5.49fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -0.841%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.64%18.33%18.18%19.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.965.005.2522.73%20.17%20.00%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: KV Mechelen (Local): 14.70%; Club Brugge (Visit): 67.09%; Draw: 18.21%. For KV Mechelen (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.80. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.00, producing a positive expected value of +2.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +2.93%E +0.418%K +0.488%G +0.014%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -8.97%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-09 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -1.49%E -0.222%K -0.261%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -8.09%E -5.90%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.33%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 18:05
1xBet🎯6.57I 15.22%NM 14.55%EV -3.40%E -0.517%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.83%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.63%EV -6.60%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-09 18:09
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -4.43%E -0.681%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -7.42%E -5.37%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.42%E -0.841%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-09 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.53%EV -5.90%E -0.921%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.88%EV -6.75%E -4.85%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.97%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-09 18:05
Pinnacle🎯6.31I 15.85%NM 15.02%EV -7.22%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.73%EV -4.73%E -3.33%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.26%EV -5.51%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-09 18:10
NordicBet🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.90%EV -7.37%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.05%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -5.33%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-09 18:05
Betsson🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.90%EV -7.37%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.05%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -5.33%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-09 18:05
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.78%E -1.96%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -13.52%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 18:40
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.78%E -1.96%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -13.52%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 18:39
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.36%EV -17.66%E -3.15%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.15%EV -12.78%E -9.83%K -42.61%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.49%EV -15.34%E -3.30%K -4.20%G +0.000%16.3%2026-11-09 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.04%EV -19.13%E -3.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.32%EV -10.77%E -8.10%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.64%EV -8.97%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%13.4%2026-11-09 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.20%EV -22.07%E -4.16%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 65.54%EV -12.11%E -9.25%K -39.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.27%EV -14.43%E -3.07%K -3.90%G +0.000%16.5%2026-11-09 13:54
Unibet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 15.60%EV -22.07%E -4.16%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 65.61%EV -15.47%E -12.28%K -59.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 18.79%EV -19.89%E -4.52%K -5.85%G +0.000%21.0%2026-11-09 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎5.50I 18.18%NM 15.57%1.31I 76.34%NM 65.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%16.7%2026-11-09 13:55