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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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KV Mechelen v Club Brugge

2026-11-21 19:45 UTC — Belgium First Div

胜负盘

16 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

KV Mechelen (主队)

预测 14.70%6.80公平赔率
EV +2.93%
优势 +0.418%
Kelly +0.488%
增长率 +0.014%

假设最高赔率为 7.00

博彩公司预测分布
13.51%14.67%14.74%16.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.306.116.157.0018.87%16.36%16.26%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

Club Brugge (客队)

预测 67.09%1.49公平赔率
EV -4.06%
优势 -2.84%
Kelly -9.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.43

博彩公司预测分布
65.44%67.00%67.08%68.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.261.371.401.4379.37%72.76%71.43%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 18.21%5.49公平赔率
EV -4.42%
优势 -0.841%
Kelly -1.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.25

博彩公司预测分布
17.64%18.33%18.18%19.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.935.005.2522.73%20.27%20.00%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：KV Mechelen (主队)：14.70%；Club Brugge (客队)：67.09%；平局：18.21%。 对于“KV Mechelen (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.80。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为7.00，由此产生+2.93%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +2.93%E +0.418%K +0.488%G +0.014%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -8.97%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-09 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -1.49%E -0.222%K -0.261%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -8.09%E -5.90%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.33%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 18:05
1xBet🎯6.57I 15.22%NM 14.55%EV -3.40%E -0.517%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.83%EV -4.06%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.63%EV -6.60%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-09 18:09
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -4.43%E -0.681%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -7.42%E -5.37%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.42%E -0.841%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-09 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.53%EV -5.90%E -0.921%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.88%EV -6.75%E -4.85%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.97%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-09 18:05
Pinnacle🎯6.31I 15.85%NM 15.02%EV -7.22%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.73%EV -4.73%E -3.33%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.26%EV -5.51%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-09 18:10
NordicBet🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.90%EV -7.37%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.05%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -5.33%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-09 18:05
Betsson🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.90%EV -7.37%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.05%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -5.33%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-09 18:05
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.78%E -1.96%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -13.52%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 18:40
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.78%E -1.96%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -13.52%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.78%E -1.96%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -13.52%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.78%E -1.96%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.07%E -4.34%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -13.52%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.36%EV -17.66%E -3.15%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.15%EV -12.78%E -9.83%K -42.61%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.49%EV -15.34%E -3.30%K -4.20%G +0.000%16.3%2026-11-09 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.04%EV -19.13%E -3.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.32%EV -10.77%E -8.10%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.64%EV -8.97%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%13.4%2026-11-09 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.20%EV -22.07%E -4.16%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 65.54%EV -12.11%E -9.25%K -39.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.27%EV -14.43%E -3.07%K -3.90%G +0.000%16.5%2026-11-09 13:54
Unibet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 15.60%EV -22.07%E -4.16%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 65.61%EV -15.47%E -12.28%K -59.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 18.79%EV -19.89%E -4.52%K -5.85%G +0.000%21.0%2026-11-09 13:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎5.50I 18.18%NM 15.57%1.31I 76.34%NM 65.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%16.7%2026-11-09 13:55