A Escola das Odds

KV Mechelen v Anderlecht

Início: 2026-04-18 18:45 UTC

Final: KV Mechelen 1–2 Anderlecht

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

KV Mechelen (Local)

Previsão 33.34%3.00odd justa
EV +2.01%
Vantagem +0.656%
Kelly +0.975%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.70%33.35%33.29%34.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.762.753.0638.46%36.19%36.36%32.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anderlecht (Visitante)

Previsão 38.98%2.57odd justa
EV +1.34%
Vantagem +0.517%
Kelly +0.840%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.35%38.98%39.01%40.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.402.402.6044.44%41.65%41.67%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.69%3.61odd justa
EV -3.10%
Vantagem -0.886%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.74%27.67%27.70%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.343.353.5033.33%29.93%29.85%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.70%EV +2.01%E +0.656%K +0.975%G +0.020%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.42%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.88%EV -3.65%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 18:40
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.27%EV -2.66%E -0.911%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -7.23%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 18:20
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.27%EV -2.66%E -0.911%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -7.23%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 18:20
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.30%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.862%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 18:40
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 18:20
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 18:20
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:35
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 18:40
Marathon Bet2.83I 35.34%NM 32.98%EV -5.66%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.57%EV -5.67%E -2.34%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -9.19%E -2.80%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:40
Suprabets2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -6.33%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.67%E -2.34%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -8.08%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 18:27
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.43%EV +1.34%E +0.517%K +0.840%G +0.011%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-18 18:20
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.43%EV +1.34%E +0.517%K +0.840%G +0.011%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-18 18:20
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 18:15
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 18:14
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -7.62%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 18:10
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 18:24
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -8.40%E -3.57%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 18:25
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:25
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.40%E -3.57%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 18:05
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 18:25
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 18:40
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 18:40
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.605%E -0.237%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 17:50
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.605%E -0.237%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 17:50
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 18:25
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 18:25
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 18:25
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.40%E -3.57%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:20
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 18:25
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.40%E -3.57%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 33.29%EV -8.99%E -3.29%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -9.18%E -3.94%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.71%EV -9.19%E -2.80%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 18:18
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -2.55%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 18:20
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -2.55%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 18:20
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -2.55%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:50
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -2.55%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 18:20
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -3.33%E -1.34%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:20
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -3.33%E -1.34%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:20
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -3.33%E -1.34%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:20
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 18:20
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 18:25
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 18:40
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 33.07%EV -10.99%E -4.12%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.90%EV -11.52%E -5.07%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -12.79%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-18 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -11.66%E -4.40%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:20
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -11.66%E -4.40%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.40%E -3.57%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 18:19
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -12.33%E -4.69%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -5.28%E -2.17%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 18:19
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 33.20%EV -12.66%E -4.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-18 18:25
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -13.33%E -5.13%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 18:20
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -13.33%E -5.13%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -13.33%E -5.13%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -12.30%E -5.47%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-18 18:40
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-04-18 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-18 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-18 18:40
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.61%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-04-18 18:40
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-04-18 18:35