La escuela de los momiosKV Mechelen v Anderlecht
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
KV Mechelen (Local)
Predicción 33.34%3.00momio equitativo
EV +2.01%
Ventaja +0.656%
Kelly +0.975%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.70%33.35%33.29%34.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.762.753.0638.46%36.19%36.36%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Anderlecht (Visitante)
Predicción 38.98%2.57momio equitativo
EV +1.34%
Ventaja +0.517%
Kelly +0.840%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.35%38.98%39.01%40.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.402.402.6044.44%41.65%41.67%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.69%3.61momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -0.886%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.74%27.67%27.70%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.343.353.5033.33%29.93%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.70%EV +2.01%E +0.656%K +0.975%G +0.020% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.42%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.88%EV -3.65%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.27%EV -2.66%E -0.911%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -7.23%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.27%EV -2.66%E -0.911%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -7.23%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.30%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.862%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Betsson | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 18:35 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.98%EV -5.66%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.57%EV -5.67%E -2.34%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -9.19%E -2.80%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| Suprabets | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -6.33%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.67%E -2.34%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -8.08%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 18:27 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.43%EV +1.34%E +0.517%K +0.840%G +0.011% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.43%EV +1.34%E +0.517%K +0.840%G +0.011% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 18:14 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -7.62%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 18:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 18:24 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -8.40%E -3.57%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| BetAnything | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.40%E -3.57%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 18:05 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.605%E -0.237%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.605%E -0.237%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 17:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.40%E -3.57%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.40%E -3.57%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.29%EV -8.99%E -3.29%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -9.18%E -3.94%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.71%EV -9.19%E -2.80%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 18:18 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -2.55%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -2.55%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -2.55%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 17:50 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -2.55%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -3.33%E -1.34%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -3.33%E -1.34%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -3.33%E -1.34%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.07%EV -10.99%E -4.12%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.90%EV -11.52%E -5.07%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -12.79%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-18 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -11.66%E -4.40%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -11.66%E -4.40%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.40%E -3.57%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 18:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -12.33%E -4.69%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -5.28%E -2.17%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 18:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.20%EV -12.66%E -4.83%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -13.33%E -5.13%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -13.33%E -5.13%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -13.33%E -5.13%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -12.30%E -5.47%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.61% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 18:35 |