مدرسة الاحتمالات

KV Mechelen v Anderlecht

البداية: 2026-04-18 18:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: KV Mechelen 1–2 Anderlecht

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

KV Mechelen (المضيف)

التنبؤ 33.34%3.00السعر العادل
EV +2.01%
الأفضلية +0.656%
Kelly +0.975%
النمو +0.020%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.70%33.35%33.29%34.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.762.753.0638.46%36.19%36.36%32.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Anderlecht (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.98%2.57السعر العادل
EV +1.34%
الأفضلية +0.517%
Kelly +0.840%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.35%38.98%39.01%40.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.402.402.6044.44%41.65%41.67%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.69%3.61السعر العادل
EV -3.10%
الأفضلية -0.886%
Kelly -1.24%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.74%27.67%27.70%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.343.353.5033.33%29.93%29.85%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.70%EV +2.01%E +0.656%K +0.975%G +0.020%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.42%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.88%EV -3.65%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 18:40
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.27%EV -2.66%E -0.911%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -7.23%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 18:20
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.27%EV -2.66%E -0.911%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -7.23%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 18:20
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.30%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.61%EV -2.16%E -0.862%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 18:40
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 18:20
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 18:20
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:35
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 18:40
Marathon Bet2.83I 35.34%NM 32.98%EV -5.66%E -2.00%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.57%EV -5.67%E -2.34%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -9.19%E -2.80%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:40
Suprabets2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -6.33%E -2.25%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.67%E -2.34%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -8.08%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 18:27
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.43%EV +1.34%E +0.517%K +0.840%G +0.011%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-18 18:20
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.43%EV +1.34%E +0.517%K +0.840%G +0.011%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-18 18:20
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 18:15
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 18:14
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -7.62%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 18:10
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 18:24
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -8.40%E -3.57%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 18:25
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:25
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.40%E -3.57%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 18:05
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 18:25
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 18:40
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 18:40
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.605%E -0.237%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 17:50
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.605%E -0.237%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 17:50
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 18:25
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 18:25
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 18:25
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.40%E -3.57%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:20
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 18:25
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.33%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.40%E -3.57%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 33.29%EV -8.99%E -3.29%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -9.18%E -3.94%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.71%EV -9.19%E -2.80%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 18:18
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -2.55%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 18:20
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -2.55%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 18:20
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -2.55%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:50
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -2.55%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 18:20
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -3.33%E -1.34%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:20
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -3.33%E -1.34%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:20
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -3.33%E -1.34%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:20
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 18:20
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 18:25
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 18:40
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 33.07%EV -10.99%E -4.12%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.90%EV -11.52%E -5.07%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -12.79%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-18 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -11.66%E -4.40%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:20
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -11.66%E -4.40%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.40%E -3.57%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 18:19
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -12.33%E -4.69%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -5.28%E -2.17%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 18:19
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 33.20%EV -12.66%E -4.83%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-18 18:25
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -13.33%E -5.13%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 18:20
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -13.33%E -5.13%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -13.33%E -5.13%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -12.30%E -5.47%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 18:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-18 18:40
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-04-18 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-18 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-18 18:40
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.61%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-04-18 18:40
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-04-18 18:35