Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KV Kortrijk v Royal Antwerp

2026-08-15 16:15 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KV Kortrijk (Local)

Prediction 35.65%2.80fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.11%35.66%35.63%36.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.602.6841.67%38.91%38.46%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Royal Antwerp (Visit)

Prediction 35.96%2.78fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.43%35.94%35.99%36.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.592.6541.67%39.32%38.61%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.38%3.52fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.78%28.40%28.38%28.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.303.4033.33%30.85%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: KV Kortrijk (Local): 35.65%; Royal Antwerp (Visit): 35.96%; Draw: 28.38%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -3.50%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.61%EV -4.45%E -1.66%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.15%EV -5.06%E -1.92%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -4.07%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:29
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:54
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 16:54
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -5.78%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -5.78%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 17:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.15%EV -7.21%E -2.80%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 17:39
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:34
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:54
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.76%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 16:29
Suprabets🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.57%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.85%EV -7.93%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.59%EV -8.89%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 16:32
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.26%EV -9.79%E -3.87%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.41%EV -11.89%E -4.85%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -10.60%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 16:29
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.09%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.76%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 16:35
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -11.89%E -4.85%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -10.60%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -13.69%E -5.70%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.02%E -3.88%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -13.69%E -5.70%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -10.60%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 16:29
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -13.69%E -5.70%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.43%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-08 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -13.69%E -5.70%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -12.02%E -3.88%K -5.72%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-08 16:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 34.74%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.62%2.86I 34.97%NM 29.64%18.0%2026-08-08 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-08 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-08 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-08 16:35