Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

KV Kortrijk v Royal Antwerp

Inicio: 2026-08-15 16:15 UTC

Final: KV Kortrijk 0–3 Royal Antwerp

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

KV Kortrijk (Local)

Predicción 37.68%2.65momio equitativo
EV -0.155%
Ventaja -0.058%
Kelly -0.094%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.05%37.48%37.70%39.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.462.502.6543.48%40.60%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Royal Antwerp (Visitante)

Predicción 33.35%3.00momio equitativo
EV +2.39%
Ventaja +0.778%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.54%33.48%33.28%37.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.772.753.0741.67%36.07%36.36%32.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 28.97%3.45momio equitativo
EV -2.95%
Ventaja -0.880%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.02%29.03%29.02%30.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.173.183.3533.90%31.51%31.45%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: KV Kortrijk (Local): 37.68%; Royal Antwerp (Visitante): 33.35%; Empate: 28.97%. Para Royal Antwerp (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.00. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.07, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.39%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.58%EV -5.43%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.54%EV +2.39%E +0.778%K +1.15%G +0.028%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.88%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -1.61%E -0.547%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 16:00
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -2.61%E -0.895%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:00
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -2.61%E -0.895%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:00
Suprabets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -10.33%E -4.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.10%EV -2.95%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.65%EV -5.55%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 16:04
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -4.95%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -2.95%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -4.95%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -2.95%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 15:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -4.95%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -2.95%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 15:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.95%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 15:49
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -4.95%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 16:09
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -4.95%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 16:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -4.95%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:09
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.58%EV -0.155%E -0.058%K -0.094%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.13%EV -5.28%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.29%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.84%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.21%EV -5.28%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 16:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.84%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.21%EV -5.28%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 16:09
BetUS🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.84%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.21%EV -5.28%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 16:09
BetAnything🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.84%EV -3.55%E -1.39%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.21%EV -5.28%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 16:09
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.62%E -2.36%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 16:09
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.62%E -2.36%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 15:50
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -10.33%E -4.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.62%E -2.36%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 16:09
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.34%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -6.62%E -2.36%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 15:59
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.34%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -6.62%E -2.36%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 15:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -13.34%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -6.62%E -2.36%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 16:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.14%EV -5.43%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -7.28%E -2.62%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.87%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 16:09
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 16:09
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 15:54
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 15:54
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 15:54
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 16:09
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 16:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 16:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 16:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -11.46%E -4.88%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 16:09
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -13.34%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -8.28%E -3.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -14.54%E -4.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-15 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -10.33%E -4.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.24%EV -8.95%E -3.28%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.63%EV -8.16%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 16:08
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.95%E -3.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 16:10
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.95%E -3.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 16:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.95%E -3.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 16:09
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -9.95%E -3.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 15:54
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -8.44%E -3.47%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -9.95%E -3.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 15:45
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -8.44%E -3.47%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -9.95%E -3.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 15:44
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -9.95%E -3.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -8.74%E -2.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 16:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.87%EV -11.46%E -4.88%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -9.95%E -3.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -11.64%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 16:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -0.155%E -0.058%K -0.094%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -11.62%E -4.38%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -11.46%E -4.88%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -11.62%E -4.38%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -11.62%E -4.38%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.24%EV -10.33%E -4.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -12.29%E -4.67%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -11.64%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 15:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.24%EV -10.33%E -4.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -12.29%E -4.67%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -11.64%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 15:55
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -1.29%E -0.491%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -19.96%E -8.32%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-14 06:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.63%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%-0.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.80%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.93%0.2%2026-08-15 16:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.80%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.93%0.2%2026-08-15 16:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-08-15 16:09
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.18%0.8%2026-08-15 16:09
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-15 16:09