Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gent v Union Saint-Gilloise

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-21 18:30 UTC

Score final : Gent 0–0 Union Saint-Gilloise

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gent (Local)

Prévision 23.18%4.31cote équitable
EV +10.10%
Avantage +2.13%
Kelly +2.69%
Croissance +0.272%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.45%23.12%23.16%24.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.094.054.7526.67%24.44%24.69%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.23%1.99cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -3.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.42%50.28%50.19%53.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.661.821.851.9360.24%55.09%54.05%51.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.59%3.76cote équitable
EV +1.04%
Avantage +0.274%
Kelly +0.372%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.90%26.60%26.64%27.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.483.503.8033.33%28.76%28.57%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gent (Local) : 23.18% ; Union Saint-Gilloise (Visiteur) : 50.23% ; Match nul : 26.59%. Pour Gent (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.31. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.75, soit une espérance positive de +10.10%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.45%EV +10.10%E +2.13%K +2.69%G +0.272%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.98%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV +1.04%E +0.274%K +0.372%G +0.004%2.9%2026-05-21 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.45%EV +10.10%E +2.13%K +2.69%G +0.272%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.98%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV +1.04%E +0.274%K +0.372%G +0.004%2.9%2026-05-21 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV +4.30%E +0.956%K +1.23%G +0.053%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.09%E -6.91%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV +4.30%E +0.956%K +1.23%G +0.053%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.09%E -6.91%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 18:00
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV +4.30%E +0.956%K +1.23%G +0.053%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.09%E -6.91%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 18:00
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV +4.30%E +0.956%K +1.23%G +0.053%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.09%E -6.91%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 18:00
LeoVegas🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +0.825%E +0.190%K +0.246%G +0.002%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -13.10%E -7.57%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.61%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 18:19
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -0.334%E -0.078%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -13.60%E -7.91%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 18:20
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -0.334%E -0.078%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -13.60%E -7.91%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 17:50
TABtouch🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -0.334%E -0.078%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -13.60%E -7.91%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 18:20
Grosvenor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -0.334%E -0.078%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -14.10%E -8.25%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Pinnacle🎯4.29I 23.31%NM 22.55%EV -0.566%E -0.132%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%EV -3.05%E -1.58%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.33%EV -5.87%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-21 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -1.49%E -0.351%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -14.61%E -8.59%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 17:50
1xBet🎯4.22I 23.70%NM 22.99%EV -2.19%E -0.519%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.79%EV -4.06%E -2.12%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -1.62%E -0.437%K -0.599%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-21 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -2.65%E -0.631%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.80%EV -15.61%E -9.29%K -22.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-21 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -3.81%E -0.918%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.71%EV -7.57%E -4.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -7.47%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 18:10
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -6.07%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 18:20
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -6.07%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 17:50
Everygame🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -4.56%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 18:09
Suprabets🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%EV -5.06%E -2.68%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -10.13%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 18:08
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -5.56%E -2.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -5.56%E -2.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 18:10
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -5.56%E -2.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.30%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.62%EV -16.61%E -10.01%K -25.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-21 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.30%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.62%EV -16.61%E -10.01%K -25.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%EV -6.13%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.95%E -0.807%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 17:50
NordicBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.13%EV -6.13%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -4.56%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:09
Betsson🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.13%EV -6.13%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -4.56%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:10
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.61%EV -4.06%E -2.12%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.61%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 18:00
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.07%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.61%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:10
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.07%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 18:19
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.07%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 18:19
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.08%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 17:50
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 18:00
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 18:00
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-21 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -4.56%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 17:49
Sky Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -10.76%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -1.62%E -0.437%K -0.599%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-21 18:10
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.08%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -12.09%E -6.91%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-21 18:10
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.82%EV -12.09%E -6.91%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -14.91%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-21 18:10
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.08%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.08%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 17:50
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.08%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -6.07%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -13.08%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -10.59%E -5.95%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-21 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.24%EV -13.08%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 49.95%EV -16.11%E -9.65%K -24.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -20.23%E -6.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-21 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.80%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-05-21 18:20
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-05-21 18:20