La escuela de los momios

Gent v Union Saint-Gilloise

Inicio: 2026-05-21 18:30 UTC

Final: Gent 0–0 Union Saint-Gilloise

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gent (Local)

Predicción 23.18%4.31momio equitativo
EV +10.10%
Ventaja +2.13%
Kelly +2.69%
Crecimiento +0.272%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.45%23.12%23.16%24.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.094.054.7526.67%24.44%24.69%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visitante)

Predicción 50.23%1.99momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -3.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.42%50.28%50.19%53.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.821.851.9360.24%55.09%54.05%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.59%3.76momio equitativo
EV +1.04%
Ventaja +0.274%
Kelly +0.372%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.90%26.60%26.64%27.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.483.503.8033.33%28.76%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.45%EV +10.10%E +2.13%K +2.69%G +0.272%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.98%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV +1.04%E +0.274%K +0.372%G +0.004%2.9%2026-05-21 17:50
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.45%EV +10.10%E +2.13%K +2.69%G +0.272%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.98%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV +1.04%E +0.274%K +0.372%G +0.004%2.9%2026-05-21 17:50
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV +4.30%E +0.956%K +1.23%G +0.053%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.09%E -6.91%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 18:00
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV +4.30%E +0.956%K +1.23%G +0.053%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.09%E -6.91%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 18:00
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV +4.30%E +0.956%K +1.23%G +0.053%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.09%E -6.91%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 18:00
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV +4.30%E +0.956%K +1.23%G +0.053%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.09%E -6.91%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 18:00
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV +0.825%E +0.190%K +0.246%G +0.002%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -13.10%E -7.57%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.61%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 18:19
Unibet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -0.334%E -0.078%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -13.60%E -7.91%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 18:20
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -0.334%E -0.078%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -13.60%E -7.91%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 17:50
TABtouch4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -0.334%E -0.078%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -13.60%E -7.91%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 18:20
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -0.334%E -0.078%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -14.10%E -8.25%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-21 17:50
Pinnacle4.29I 23.31%NM 22.55%EV -0.566%E -0.132%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%EV -3.05%E -1.58%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.33%EV -5.87%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-21 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -1.49%E -0.351%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -14.61%E -8.59%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 17:50
1xBet4.22I 23.70%NM 22.99%EV -2.19%E -0.519%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.79%EV -4.06%E -2.12%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -1.62%E -0.437%K -0.599%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-21 18:20
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -2.65%E -0.631%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.80%EV -15.61%E -9.29%K -22.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-21 18:00
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -3.81%E -0.918%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.71%EV -7.57%E -4.12%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -7.47%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 18:10
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -6.07%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 18:20
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -6.07%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 17:50
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -4.56%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 18:09
Suprabets4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%EV -5.06%E -2.68%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -10.13%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 18:08
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -5.56%E -2.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 18:10
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -5.56%E -2.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 18:10
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -5.56%E -2.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 18:10
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.30%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.62%EV -16.61%E -10.01%K -25.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-21 18:20
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.30%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.62%EV -16.61%E -10.01%K -25.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Betclic (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%EV -6.13%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -2.95%E -0.807%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 17:50
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.13%EV -6.13%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -4.56%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:09
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 23.13%EV -6.13%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -4.56%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:10
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.61%EV -4.06%E -2.12%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.61%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 18:00
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.07%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.61%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:10
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 17:50
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.07%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 18:19
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.07%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 18:19
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.08%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 17:50
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 17:50
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 18:00
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 18:10
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 18:00
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 18:00
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-21 18:10
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -4.56%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 17:49
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.61%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 18:10
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -10.76%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -1.62%E -0.437%K -0.599%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 17:50
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-21 18:10
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.08%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 18:10
NetBet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -12.09%E -6.91%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-21 18:10
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.82%EV -12.09%E -6.91%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -14.91%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-21 18:10
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.08%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.08%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 17:50
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.08%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -6.07%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 18:10
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -13.08%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -10.59%E -5.95%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-21 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.24%EV -13.08%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 49.95%EV -16.11%E -9.65%K -24.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -20.23%E -6.74%K -10.12%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-21 18:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.80%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-05-21 18:20
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-05-21 18:20