Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gent v Leuven

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-03 18:30 UTC

Score final : Gent 1–0 Leuven

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gent (Local)

Prévision 56.60%1.77cote équitable
EV -3.78%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -5.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.69%56.59%56.44%58.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.641.641.7064.10%61.14%60.98%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Leuven (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.37%5.44cote équitable
EV +7.11%
Avantage +1.22%
Kelly +1.47%
Croissance +0.105%

avec la cote maximale 5.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.65%18.31%18.49%19.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.125.005.8321.74%19.52%20.00%17.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.03%4.00cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -0.547%
Kelly -0.734%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.49%25.10%25.06%26.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.643.633.9129.41%27.51%27.59%25.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gent (Local) : 56.60% ; Leuven (Visiteur) : 18.37% ; Match nul : 25.03%. Pour Leuven (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.44. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.83, soit une espérance positive de +7.11%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.91%E -2.92%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.65%EV +7.11%E +1.22%K +1.47%G +0.105%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.91%E -2.92%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +5.64%E +0.980%K +1.19%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.91%E -2.92%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +5.64%E +0.980%K +1.19%G +0.067%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 18:25
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.10%EV -6.05%E -3.64%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.93%EV +2.88%E +0.515%K +0.627%G +0.018%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.97%EV -8.64%E -2.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -9.44%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV +1.04%E +0.190%K +0.232%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 17:55
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.792%E -0.147%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.792%E -0.147%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.792%E -0.147%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 18:25
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.792%E -0.147%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 18:25
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.31%EV -4.91%E -2.92%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.06%EV -2.08%E -0.390%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.62%EV -2.14%E -0.547%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.06%EV -4.91%E -2.92%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -2.63%E -0.496%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 17:35
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.06%EV -4.91%E -2.92%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -2.63%E -0.496%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.55%E -0.676%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.26%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -3.55%E -0.676%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.96%EV -6.39%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.676%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 18:24
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -3.55%E -0.676%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 18:24
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -4.47%E -0.859%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -4.47%E -0.859%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -4.47%E -0.859%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 18:25
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -4.47%E -0.859%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 18:25
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.99%EV -7.74%E -4.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -4.47%E -0.859%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -13.65%E -3.96%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.11%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.71%EV -6.30%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.65%E -3.96%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 18:25
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.11%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.71%EV -6.30%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.65%E -3.96%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 18:25
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.11%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.71%EV -6.30%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.65%E -3.96%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.04%EV -9.44%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -6.30%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 17:35
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -3.78%E -2.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 16:14
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.91%EV -4.35%E -2.57%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -3.78%E -2.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -3.78%E -2.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 16:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -4.91%E -2.92%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.89%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 18:04
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -4.91%E -2.92%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 16:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 17:55
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.39%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 18:00
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 17:55
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 18:25
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 18:25
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -9.44%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.14%E -7.09%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.14%E -7.09%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.16%EV -10.57%E -6.69%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.16%EV -10.57%E -6.69%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -8.14%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 18:25
Suprabets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -6.61%E -4.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -9.98%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.96%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 18:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -9.98%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -11.71%E -7.50%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.98%EV -9.98%E -2.04%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -13.65%E -3.96%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-03 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.56%EV -10.57%E -6.69%K -18.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -9.44%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -11.82%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.40%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.68%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -8.64%E -2.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -15.49%E -3.37%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.90%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 18:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.52%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.14%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.34%-0.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29%0.1%2026-09-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-09-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-09-03 18:25
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.17%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-03 18:20