Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gent v Leuven

2026-09-03 18:30 UTC — Belgium First Div

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gent (Local)

Prévision 57.80%1.73cote équitable
EV -3.47%
Avantage -2.08%
Kelly -5.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.76%57.76%57.75%59.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.601.6765.36%62.40%62.50%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Leuven (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.74%5.34cote équitable
EV -0.323%
Avantage -0.061%
Kelly -0.075%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.68%18.70%18.79%19.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.884.905.3222.73%20.49%20.41%18.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.46%4.26cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -0.931%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.82%23.54%23.46%24.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.893.904.1027.78%25.73%25.64%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Gent (Local) : 57.80% ; Leuven (Visiteur) : 18.74% ; Match nul : 23.46%. Pour Leuven (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.34. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 5.32, pour une espérance de -0.323% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.64%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%EV -4.44%E -0.872%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -3.82%E -0.931%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 05:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.64%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%EV -4.44%E -0.872%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -3.82%E -0.931%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 05:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.64%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%EV -4.44%E -0.872%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.48%EV -3.82%E -0.931%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 05:05
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.32%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 02:03
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.00%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.20%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 02:15
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.00%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.20%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 02:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.00%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.20%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 02:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.00%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.20%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 02:15
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.65%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.97%EV -0.323%E -0.061%K -0.075%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.38%EV -4.05%E -0.991%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 01:54
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.14%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.40%EV -3.51%E -0.681%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.46%EV -5.23%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 02:25
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -8.19%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -7.34%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 05:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -8.19%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -7.34%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 05:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -8.19%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -7.34%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 05:05
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -8.19%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -7.34%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 05:05
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -1.63%E -0.311%K -0.385%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -3.82%E -0.931%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 01:35
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.32%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.82%E -0.931%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 02:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.32%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.32%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -10.07%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 03:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -10.07%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 03:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.32%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 02:04
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -11.94%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 05:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -7.51%E -4.70%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -1.63%E -0.311%K -0.385%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.82%E -0.931%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 05:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.51%E -4.70%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.32%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.82%E -0.931%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 04:40
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.51%E -4.70%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.32%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 01:53
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.51%E -4.70%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.32%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 01:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -7.51%E -4.70%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -11.94%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-31 05:05
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -7.51%E -4.70%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -11.94%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-31 05:05
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -7.51%E -4.70%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -11.94%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-31 05:05
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -7.51%E -4.70%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.00%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.20%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 01:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -8.09%E -5.09%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.57%E -0.494%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 01:45
Suprabets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.59%EV -8.09%E -5.09%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -8.19%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 04:06
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -8.67%E -5.49%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -1.63%E -0.311%K -0.385%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 05:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.63%E -0.311%K -0.385%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 05:09
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.32%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 01:19
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.32%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 01:20
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.00%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-31 06:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.81%E -3.00%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.03%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 05:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.25%EV -9.82%E -6.30%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -11.00%E -2.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.94%EV -12.50%E -3.35%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 02:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.25%EV -9.82%E -6.30%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -15.69%E -3.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -8.51%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 02:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.79%EV -9.82%E -6.30%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -13.81%E -3.00%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -13.20%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 05:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.79%EV -9.82%E -6.30%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -13.81%E -3.00%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -13.20%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 05:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.40%E -6.71%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -11.94%E -2.54%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 02:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.11%EV -10.98%E -7.13%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -13.81%E -3.00%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -13.20%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-31 02:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.97%EV -10.98%E -7.13%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -17.56%E -3.99%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -11.56%E -7.55%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -10.07%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 01:25
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -11.56%E -7.55%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -15.69%E -3.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.08%EV -15.55%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-31 01:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%4.9%2026-08-31 07:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%8.7%2026-08-31 06:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%8.7%2026-08-31 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%8.7%2026-08-31 06:40
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%10.3%2026-08-31 07:05