A Escola das Odds

Genk v Westerlo

Início: 2026-05-10 17:15 UTC

Final: Genk 3–0 Westerlo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Genk (Local)

Previsão 56.89%1.76odd justa
EV -4.43%
Vantagem -2.64%
Kelly -6.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.57%56.89%56.88%58.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.621.631.6865.36%61.76%61.35%59.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Westerlo (Visitante)

Previsão 20.90%4.78odd justa
EV +10.77%
Vantagem +2.03%
Kelly +2.51%
Crescimento +0.270%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.96%20.81%20.90%21.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.604.505.3025.00%21.76%22.22%18.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.21%4.50odd justa
EV -3.82%
Vantagem -0.883%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.23%22.30%22.22%24.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.404.084.104.3329.41%24.52%24.39%23.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.10%EV +10.77%E +2.03%K +2.51%G +0.270%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 18:30
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.10%EV +10.77%E +2.03%K +2.51%G +0.270%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -8.41%E -5.22%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV +8.68%E +1.67%K +2.07%G +0.180%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -8.41%E -5.22%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV +8.68%E +1.67%K +2.07%G +0.180%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:29
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV +8.68%E +1.67%K +2.07%G +0.180%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:29
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV +8.68%E +1.67%K +2.07%G +0.180%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:29
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV +8.68%E +1.67%K +2.07%G +0.180%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:29
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV +6.59%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.106%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 18:35
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV +6.59%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.106%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 18:30
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -11.25%E -7.21%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +6.59%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.106%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 18:30
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -11.25%E -7.21%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +6.59%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.106%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.41%EV -11.25%E -7.21%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV +4.50%E +0.901%K +1.13%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 18:35
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.55%EV -12.39%E -8.05%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV +4.50%E +0.901%K +1.13%G +0.051%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.49%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-07 18:30
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -12.96%E -8.47%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV +2.41%E +0.492%K +0.619%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -15.60%E -4.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -12.96%E -8.47%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV +2.41%E +0.492%K +0.619%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -15.60%E -4.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 18:30
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.17%EV -4.43%E -2.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.39%EV -1.56%E -0.331%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.44%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 01:15
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.22%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.29%EV -1.56%E -0.331%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 11:09
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -3.86%E -0.839%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:19
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -3.86%E -0.839%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:19
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -7.27%E -4.46%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.86%E -0.839%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -7.82%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 11:08
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -3.82%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 17:09
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -3.82%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 17:10
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 17:19
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 17:20
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 19:32
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 19:40
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 19:34
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:24
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 17:10
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 11:10
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 11:09
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:19
Suprabets1.64I 60.98%NM 56.41%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:19
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -7.84%E -4.84%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 11:10
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -8.41%E -5.22%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 11:08
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.78%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:19
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -11.82%E -7.63%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 01:19
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.19%EV -9.55%E -6.01%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -9.08%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.91%EV -7.82%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 17:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:09
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:09
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:10
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -7.84%E -4.84%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:09
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 57.13%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 11:09
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -7.27%E -4.46%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -10.13%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -14.49%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 17:19
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -11.17%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 11:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -12.22%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 11:10
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.22%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 11:09
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.22%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 00:59
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -12.22%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 11:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -10.12%E -6.40%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -14.31%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.57%EV -12.96%E -8.47%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.87%EV -16.40%E -4.10%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.56%EV -24.48%E -7.20%K -10.20%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-09 17:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.69%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.02%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29%2.0%2026-05-10 03:00
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.56%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.51%2.2%2026-05-10 02:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70%2.4%2026-05-10 03:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70%2.4%2026-05-10 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-05-10 03:10
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 57.12%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%5.5%2026-05-10 00:45