L’École des cotes

Genk v Westerlo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 17:15 UTC

Score final : Genk 3–0 Westerlo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Genk (Local)

Prévision 56.89%1.76cote équitable
EV -4.43%
Avantage -2.64%
Kelly -6.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.57%56.89%56.88%58.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.621.631.6865.36%61.76%61.35%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Westerlo (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.90%4.78cote équitable
EV +10.77%
Avantage +2.03%
Kelly +2.51%
Croissance +0.270%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.96%20.81%20.90%21.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.604.505.3025.00%21.76%22.22%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.21%4.50cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -0.883%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.23%22.30%22.22%24.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.084.104.3329.41%24.52%24.39%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.10%EV +10.77%E +2.03%K +2.51%G +0.270%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 18:30
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.10%EV +10.77%E +2.03%K +2.51%G +0.270%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -8.41%E -5.22%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV +8.68%E +1.67%K +2.07%G +0.180%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -8.41%E -5.22%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV +8.68%E +1.67%K +2.07%G +0.180%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:29
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV +8.68%E +1.67%K +2.07%G +0.180%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:29
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV +8.68%E +1.67%K +2.07%G +0.180%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:29
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV +8.68%E +1.67%K +2.07%G +0.180%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:29
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV +6.59%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.106%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 18:35
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV +6.59%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.106%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 18:30
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -11.25%E -7.21%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +6.59%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.106%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 18:30
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -11.25%E -7.21%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +6.59%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.106%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.41%EV -11.25%E -7.21%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV +4.50%E +0.901%K +1.13%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 18:35
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.55%EV -12.39%E -8.05%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV +4.50%E +0.901%K +1.13%G +0.051%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.49%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-07 18:30
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -12.96%E -8.47%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV +2.41%E +0.492%K +0.619%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -15.60%E -4.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -12.96%E -8.47%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV +2.41%E +0.492%K +0.619%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -15.60%E -4.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 18:30
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.17%EV -4.43%E -2.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.39%EV -1.56%E -0.331%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.44%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 01:15
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.22%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.29%EV -1.56%E -0.331%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 11:09
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -3.86%E -0.839%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:19
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -3.86%E -0.839%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:19
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -7.27%E -4.46%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.86%E -0.839%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -7.82%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 11:08
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -3.82%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 17:09
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -3.82%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 17:10
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 17:19
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 17:20
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 19:32
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 19:40
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 19:34
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:24
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 17:10
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 11:10
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 11:09
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:19
Suprabets1.64I 60.98%NM 56.41%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:19
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -7.84%E -4.84%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 11:10
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -8.41%E -5.22%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 11:08
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.78%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:19
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -11.82%E -7.63%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 01:19
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.19%EV -9.55%E -6.01%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -9.08%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.91%EV -7.82%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 17:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:09
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:09
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:10
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -7.84%E -4.84%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:09
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 57.13%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 11:09
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -7.27%E -4.46%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -10.13%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -14.49%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 17:19
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -11.17%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 11:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -12.22%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 11:10
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.22%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 11:09
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.22%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 00:59
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -12.22%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 11:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -10.12%E -6.40%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -14.31%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.57%EV -12.96%E -8.47%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.87%EV -16.40%E -4.10%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.56%EV -24.48%E -7.20%K -10.20%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-09 17:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.69%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.02%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29%2.0%2026-05-10 03:00
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.56%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.51%2.2%2026-05-10 02:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70%2.4%2026-05-10 03:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70%2.4%2026-05-10 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-05-10 03:10
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 57.12%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%5.5%2026-05-10 00:45