La escuela de los momios

Genk v Westerlo

Inicio: 2026-05-10 17:15 UTC

Final: Genk 3–0 Westerlo

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Genk (Local)

Predicción 56.89%1.76momio equitativo
EV -4.43%
Ventaja -2.64%
Kelly -6.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.57%56.89%56.88%58.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.621.631.6865.36%61.76%61.35%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Westerlo (Visitante)

Predicción 20.90%4.78momio equitativo
EV +10.77%
Ventaja +2.03%
Kelly +2.51%
Crecimiento +0.270%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.96%20.81%20.90%21.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.604.505.3025.00%21.76%22.22%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.21%4.50momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -0.883%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.23%22.30%22.22%24.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.084.104.3329.41%24.52%24.39%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.10%EV +10.77%E +2.03%K +2.51%G +0.270%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 18:30
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.10%EV +10.77%E +2.03%K +2.51%G +0.270%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -8.41%E -5.22%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV +8.68%E +1.67%K +2.07%G +0.180%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -8.41%E -5.22%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV +8.68%E +1.67%K +2.07%G +0.180%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 18:29
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV +8.68%E +1.67%K +2.07%G +0.180%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:29
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV +8.68%E +1.67%K +2.07%G +0.180%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:29
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV +8.68%E +1.67%K +2.07%G +0.180%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 18:29
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV +6.59%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.106%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 18:35
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV +6.59%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.106%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 18:30
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -11.25%E -7.21%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +6.59%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.106%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 18:30
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -11.25%E -7.21%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +6.59%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.106%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.27%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.41%EV -11.25%E -7.21%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV +4.50%E +0.901%K +1.13%G +0.051%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-07 18:35
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.55%EV -12.39%E -8.05%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV +4.50%E +0.901%K +1.13%G +0.051%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.49%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-07 18:30
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -12.96%E -8.47%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV +2.41%E +0.492%K +0.619%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -15.60%E -4.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -12.96%E -8.47%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV +2.41%E +0.492%K +0.619%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -15.60%E -4.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 18:30
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.17%EV -4.43%E -2.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.39%EV -1.56%E -0.331%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.44%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 01:15
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.22%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.29%EV -1.56%E -0.331%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 11:09
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -3.86%E -0.839%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:19
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -3.86%E -0.839%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:19
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -7.27%E -4.46%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.86%E -0.839%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -7.82%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 11:08
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -3.82%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 17:09
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -3.82%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 17:10
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:09
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 17:19
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 17:20
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 19:32
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 19:40
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 19:34
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:24
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.95%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 17:10
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 11:10
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 11:09
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:19
Suprabets1.64I 60.98%NM 56.41%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:19
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -7.84%E -4.84%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 11:10
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -8.41%E -5.22%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 11:08
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.78%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:19
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -11.82%E -7.63%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -8.04%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 01:19
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.19%EV -9.55%E -6.01%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -9.08%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.91%EV -7.82%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 17:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:09
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:09
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -13.38%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:10
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -7.84%E -4.84%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 11:09
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 57.13%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.50%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 11:09
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -7.27%E -4.46%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -10.13%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -14.49%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 17:19
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -11.17%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 11:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -12.22%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 11:10
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.22%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 11:09
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.22%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 00:59
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -10.69%E -6.81%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -12.22%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 11:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -10.12%E -6.40%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -14.31%E -3.49%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.57%EV -12.96%E -8.47%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.87%EV -16.40%E -4.10%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.56%EV -24.48%E -7.20%K -10.20%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-09 17:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.69%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.02%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29%2.0%2026-05-10 03:00
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.56%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.51%2.2%2026-05-10 02:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70%2.4%2026-05-10 03:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70%2.4%2026-05-10 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-05-10 03:10
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 57.12%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%5.5%2026-05-10 00:45