Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genk v Westerlo

2026-08-15 18:45 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genk (Local)

Prediction 57.68%1.73fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -5.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.49%57.56%57.74%58.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.621.6765.36%62.30%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Westerlo (Visit)

Prediction 19.70%5.08fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.304%
Kelly -0.380%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.05%19.77%19.63%21.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.564.505.0024.39%21.91%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.62%4.42fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.635%
Kelly -0.828%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.15%22.67%22.63%23.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.034.104.3027.03%24.84%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Genk (Local): 57.68%; Westerlo (Visit): 19.70%; Draw: 22.62%. For Westerlo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.08. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.00, with an expected value of -1.52%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.99%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:24
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.99%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:24
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.58%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.67%EV -4.28%E -0.880%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -4.99%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 01:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.99%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.99%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 19:25
Suprabets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -12.91%E -3.35%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 19:12
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -6.55%E -4.04%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -1.52%E -0.304%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -2.73%E -0.635%K -0.828%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -6.55%E -4.04%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -3.86%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 19:14
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -6.55%E -4.04%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.32%EV -4.47%E -0.923%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 22:14
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -6.55%E -4.04%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.32%EV -4.47%E -0.923%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -6.55%E -4.04%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 01:44
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.99%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 19:14
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 19:13
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.40%EV -8.86%E -5.61%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.57%EV -14.49%E -3.83%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.80%EV -8.86%E -5.61%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -17.28%E -4.11%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -14.04%E -3.70%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-08 19:14
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -11.37%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.01%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.22%EV -14.32%E -3.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -16.30%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 19:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.49%EV -10.01%E -6.42%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.11%EV -19.25%E -4.69%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.40%EV -16.30%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-08 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -10.59%E -6.83%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 20:54
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -11.74%E -7.68%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -13.34%E -3.03%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -11.78%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.42%EV -11.74%E -7.68%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -17.28%E -4.11%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -15.17%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-08 19:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 54.97%4.17I 23.98%NM 21.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%10.9%2026-08-09 01:15
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 55.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%13.6%2026-08-08 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.76%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%184.8%2026-08-08 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.76%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%184.8%2026-08-08 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-08 19:25