Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Genk v Westerlo

2026-08-15 18:45 UTC — Belgium First Div

Testa a testa

21 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Genk (Casa)

Previsione 57.75%1.73quota equa
EV -3.56%
Vantaggio -2.13%
Kelly -5.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.49%57.61%57.87%58.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.601.611.6765.36%62.33%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Westerlo (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.64%5.09quota equa
EV -1.81%
Vantaggio -0.363%
Kelly -0.454%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.05%19.73%19.52%21.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.574.505.0024.39%21.88%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 22.61%4.42quota equa
EV -2.77%
Vantaggio -0.644%
Kelly -0.839%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.15%22.66%22.61%23.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.034.104.3027.03%24.84%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Genk (Casa): 57.75%; Westerlo (Trasferta): 19.64%; Pareggio: 22.61%. Per Westerlo (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 5.09. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 5.00, con un valore atteso del -1.81%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (21 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -3.56%E -2.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -11.63%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:24
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -3.56%E -2.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -11.63%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 19:24
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.84%EV -4.71%E -2.86%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.44%EV -3.58%E -0.729%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 02:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -4.71%E -2.86%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -11.63%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -4.71%E -2.86%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -11.63%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 19:25
Suprabets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -5.29%E -3.22%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.67%E -2.10%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -12.94%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 19:12
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -6.44%E -3.98%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -1.81%E -0.363%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -2.77%E -0.644%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -6.44%E -3.98%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -5.74%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -3.90%E -0.917%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 19:14
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -6.44%E -3.98%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.32%EV -4.76%E -0.981%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.29%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 22:14
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -6.44%E -3.98%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.32%EV -4.76%E -0.981%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.29%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -5.74%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.29%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 02:14
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -6.72%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 19:14
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.67%E -2.10%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.55%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 19:13
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.40%EV -8.75%E -5.54%K -15.09%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.03%EV -12.61%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.57%EV -14.53%E -3.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.80%EV -8.75%E -5.54%K -15.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -17.52%E -4.17%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -14.07%E -3.70%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-08 19:14
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.33%E -5.94%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -11.63%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.55%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.01%EV -9.33%E -5.94%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.22%EV -14.58%E -3.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -16.34%E -4.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 19:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.49%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.11%EV -19.49%E -4.75%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.40%EV -16.34%E -4.42%K -6.05%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-08 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -10.49%E -6.77%K -19.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -9.67%E -2.10%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -9.55%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 20:54
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -11.64%E -7.61%K -21.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -13.60%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -11.81%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.42%EV -11.64%E -7.61%K -21.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -17.52%E -4.17%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -15.21%E -4.05%K -5.53%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-08 19:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 54.97%4.17I 23.98%NM 21.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%10.9%2026-08-09 01:15
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 55.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%13.6%2026-08-08 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.76%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%184.8%2026-08-08 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.76%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%184.8%2026-08-08 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-08 19:25