Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.62
assuming max odds 5.80
assuming max odds 4.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Genk (Local): 59.77%; SK Beveren (Visit): 18.25%; Draw: 21.98%. For SK Beveren (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.48. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.84%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.36%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV +5.84%E +1.01%K +1.22%G +0.071% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.36%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV +5.84%E +1.01%K +1.22%G +0.071% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +4.93%E +0.857%K +1.04%G +0.051% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.78%EV -3.17%E -1.96%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 17.11%EV +3.29%E +0.581%K +0.705%G +0.023% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.11%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.98%EV -5.57%E -3.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.17%EV +2.38%E +0.423%K +0.515%G +0.012% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.85%EV -3.06%E -0.693%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 18:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV +0.368%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV +0.368%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV +0.368%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV +0.368%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV +0.368%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -15.37%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.06%EV -5.57%E -3.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -3.28%E -0.619%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.06%EV -5.57%E -3.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -3.28%E -0.619%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -6.16%E -3.93%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -4.19%E -0.799%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -3.28%E -0.745%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.16%E -3.93%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.19%E -0.799%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.19%E -0.799%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -3.28%E -0.745%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.19%E -0.799%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -3.28%E -0.745%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.21%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.26%EV -4.19%E -0.799%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -15.37%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.21%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.26%EV -4.19%E -0.799%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -15.37%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.21%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.26%EV -4.19%E -0.799%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -15.37%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.25%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -16.47%E -4.33%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -6.93%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-28 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.03%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -6.93%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -17.57%E -4.68%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.03%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -6.93%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -17.57%E -4.68%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -5.57%E -3.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%EV -4.38%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.40%EV -5.57%E -3.52%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 18:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.16%E -3.93%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.16%E -3.93%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.16%E -3.93%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.16%E -3.93%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -13.17%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-28 18:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -10.58%E -2.16%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.28%E -0.745%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.49%EV -9.15%E -6.02%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -10.58%E -2.16%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -11.49%E -2.37%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -12.41%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.27%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.09%EV -10.94%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.34%EV -12.41%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -14.27%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.16%E -3.93%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -13.32%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.08%E -0.240%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -13.32%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.82%EV -9.15%E -6.02%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -13.32%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -13.32%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.51%EV -10.94%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -14.23%E -3.03%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.16%E -3.93%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -16.06%E -3.49%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -16.06%E -3.49%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -13.17%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.34% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.19% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30% | 1.9% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.85% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.85% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 2.1% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |