Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Genk v SK Beveren

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-28 18:46 UTC

Score final : Genk 4–0 SK Beveren

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Genk (Local)

Prévision 59.77%1.67cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -5.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.31%59.72%59.90%61.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.491.551.561.6267.11%64.59%64.10%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SK Beveren (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.25%5.48cote équitable
EV +5.84%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.071%

avec la cote maximale 5.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.42%18.22%18.10%19.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.145.155.8021.74%19.44%19.42%17.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.98%4.55cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.240%
Kelly -0.308%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.77%22.06%22.00%23.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.094.004.5026.67%24.42%25.00%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Genk (Local) : 59.77% ; SK Beveren (Visiteur) : 18.25% ; Match nul : 21.98%. Pour SK Beveren (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.48. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.80, soit une espérance positive de +5.84%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.36%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV +5.84%E +1.01%K +1.22%G +0.071%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-28 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.36%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV +5.84%E +1.01%K +1.22%G +0.071%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-28 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +4.93%E +0.857%K +1.04%G +0.051%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 18:40
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.78%EV -3.17%E -1.96%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.11%EV +3.29%E +0.581%K +0.705%G +0.023%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.11%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-28 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.98%EV -5.57%E -3.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.17%EV +2.38%E +0.423%K +0.515%G +0.012%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.85%EV -3.06%E -0.693%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV +0.368%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 18:40
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV +0.368%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV +0.368%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 18:40
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV +0.368%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV +0.368%E +0.067%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -15.37%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 18:15
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.06%EV -5.57%E -3.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -3.28%E -0.619%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 18:25
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.06%EV -5.57%E -3.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -3.28%E -0.619%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -6.16%E -3.93%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -4.19%E -0.799%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -3.28%E -0.745%K -0.964%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.16%E -3.93%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.19%E -0.799%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 18:45
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.19%E -0.799%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -3.28%E -0.745%K -0.964%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:34
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.19%E -0.799%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -3.28%E -0.745%K -0.964%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:35
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.21%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.26%EV -4.19%E -0.799%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -15.37%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.21%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.26%EV -4.19%E -0.799%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -15.37%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.21%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.26%EV -4.19%E -0.799%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -15.37%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.25%EV -9.75%E -6.46%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -5.11%E -0.982%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -16.47%E -4.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 18:40
Suprabets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -6.93%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.03%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -6.93%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -17.57%E -4.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-28 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.03%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -6.93%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -17.57%E -4.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-28 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -5.57%E -3.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%EV -4.38%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 18:15
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.40%EV -5.57%E -3.52%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 18:14
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.57%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 18:45
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.16%E -3.93%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 18:35
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.16%E -3.93%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.16%E -3.93%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.16%E -3.93%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-28 18:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -8.76%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -13.17%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 18:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -10.58%E -2.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.28%E -0.745%K -0.964%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.49%EV -9.15%E -6.02%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -10.58%E -2.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-28 18:45
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -11.49%E -2.37%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-28 18:15
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -12.41%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.27%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.09%EV -10.94%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.34%EV -12.41%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -14.27%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-28 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.16%E -3.93%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -13.32%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.08%E -0.240%K -0.308%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 18:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -13.32%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-28 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.82%EV -9.15%E -6.02%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -13.32%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -13.32%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-28 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.51%EV -10.94%E -7.35%K -22.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -14.23%E -3.03%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-28 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.16%E -3.93%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -16.06%E -3.49%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -16.06%E -3.49%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -13.17%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-28 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-08-28 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.34%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-28 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-08-28 18:40
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.19%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30%1.9%2026-08-28 18:45
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.85%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-08-28 18:40
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-08-28 18:45