L’École des cotes

Genk v Charleroi

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 18:30 UTC

Score final : Genk 1–1 Charleroi

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Genk (Local)

Prévision 52.92%1.89cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -3.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.95%52.91%52.89%54.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.741.751.8360.98%57.45%57.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Charleroi (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.42%4.67cote équitable
EV +0.660%
Avantage +0.140%
Kelly +0.178%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.47%21.45%21.37%22.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.374.404.7026.67%22.87%22.73%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.66%3.90cote équitable
EV +1.35%
Avantage +0.342%
Kelly +0.458%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.48%25.63%25.74%27.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.633.653.9533.33%27.55%27.40%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV +0.660%E +0.140%K +0.178%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%EV +1.35%E +0.342%K +0.458%G +0.006%3.1%2026-04-21 18:20
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV +0.660%E +0.140%K +0.178%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%EV +1.35%E +0.342%K +0.458%G +0.006%3.1%2026-04-21 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.64%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -1.48%E -0.322%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -1.21%E -0.315%K -0.426%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.64%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -1.48%E -0.322%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -1.21%E -0.315%K -0.426%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 18:20
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 17:40
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -8.97%E -5.22%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -1.48%E -0.322%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:20
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -8.97%E -5.22%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -1.48%E -0.322%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:20
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -8.97%E -5.22%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -1.48%E -0.322%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:20
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -10.05%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 17:30
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -9.50%E -5.56%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:10
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:20
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:20
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 17:40
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 17:40
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 17:38
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.05%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 17:30
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -8.98%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -11.09%E -6.60%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 18:15
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.01%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.04%EV -1.27%E -0.275%K -0.351%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 18:20
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.33%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.58%EV +0.446%E +0.095%K +0.121%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 18:25
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 17:40
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.98%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 17:30
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -12.15%E -7.32%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:20
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:25
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:25
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.97%E -5.22%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -12.19%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 17:25
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.75%EV -13.20%E -8.05%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -6.84%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.75%EV -13.20%E -8.05%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -6.84%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 18:20
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.02%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -7.12%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:15
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 17:25
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 17:55
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:18
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 17:54
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.05%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 17:30
Suprabets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.15%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.06%EV -7.89%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 17:58
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -8.97%E -5.22%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -8.98%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.91%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 18:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:25
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.05%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.97%E -5.22%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -10.05%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.33%EV -11.09%E -6.60%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -16.47%E -4.22%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-21 17:25
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.26%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:55
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.26%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:55
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.26%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.26%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:55
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.19%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:25
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.05%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 18:05
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -14.33%E -3.58%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-21 18:15
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.05%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -15.33%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 18:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.41%EV -12.15%E -7.32%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.22%EV -12.19%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -15.33%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-21 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.95%EV -11.62%E -6.96%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.24%EV -19.69%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -23.02%E -7.67%K -11.51%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-21 18:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-04-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-04-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-04-21 18:25
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-21 18:10
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.22%1.7%2026-04-21 18:20
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%2.8%2026-04-21 17:55