La escuela de los momios

Genk v Charleroi

Inicio: 2026-04-21 18:30 UTC

Final: Genk 1–1 Charleroi

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Genk (Local)

Predicción 52.92%1.89momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -3.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.95%52.91%52.89%54.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.741.751.8360.98%57.45%57.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Charleroi (Visitante)

Predicción 21.42%4.67momio equitativo
EV +0.660%
Ventaja +0.140%
Kelly +0.178%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.47%21.45%21.37%22.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.374.404.7026.67%22.87%22.73%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.66%3.90momio equitativo
EV +1.35%
Ventaja +0.342%
Kelly +0.458%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.48%25.63%25.74%27.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.633.653.9533.33%27.55%27.40%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV +0.660%E +0.140%K +0.178%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%EV +1.35%E +0.342%K +0.458%G +0.006%3.1%2026-04-21 18:20
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV +0.660%E +0.140%K +0.178%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%EV +1.35%E +0.342%K +0.458%G +0.006%3.1%2026-04-21 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.64%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -1.48%E -0.322%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -1.21%E -0.315%K -0.426%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.64%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -1.48%E -0.322%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -1.21%E -0.315%K -0.426%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 18:20
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 17:40
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -8.97%E -5.22%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -1.48%E -0.322%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:20
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -8.97%E -5.22%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -1.48%E -0.322%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:20
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -8.97%E -5.22%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -1.48%E -0.322%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:20
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -10.05%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 17:30
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -9.50%E -5.56%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:10
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:20
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:20
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.50%E -0.657%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 17:40
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 17:40
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 17:38
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -10.05%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 17:30
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -8.98%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -11.09%E -6.60%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.78%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 18:15
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.01%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.04%EV -1.27%E -0.275%K -0.351%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 18:20
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.33%EV -4.21%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.58%EV +0.446%E +0.095%K +0.121%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 18:25
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 17:40
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.98%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 17:30
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -12.15%E -7.32%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -5.06%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:20
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:25
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:25
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.97%E -5.22%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -12.19%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 17:25
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.75%EV -13.20%E -8.05%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -6.84%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.75%EV -13.20%E -8.05%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -6.84%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 18:20
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.02%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -7.12%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:15
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 17:25
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.79%E -3.26%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 17:55
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:18
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 17:54
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.05%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.63%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 17:30
Suprabets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.15%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -3.62%E -0.805%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.06%EV -7.89%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 17:58
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -8.97%E -5.22%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -8.98%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.91%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 18:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:25
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.05%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.97%E -5.22%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -10.05%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.33%EV -11.09%E -6.60%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -16.47%E -4.22%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-21 17:25
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.26%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:55
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.26%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:55
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.26%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.26%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:55
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.19%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:25
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.05%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 18:05
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -14.33%E -3.58%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -12.76%E -3.75%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-21 18:15
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.05%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -15.33%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 18:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.41%EV -12.15%E -7.32%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.22%EV -12.19%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -15.33%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-21 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.95%EV -11.62%E -6.96%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.24%EV -19.69%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -23.02%E -7.67%K -11.51%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-21 18:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-04-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-04-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-04-21 18:25
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-21 18:10
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.22%1.7%2026-04-21 18:20
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%2.8%2026-04-21 17:55