Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dender v SV Zulte-Waregem

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 17:15 UTC

Final: Dender 1–2 SV Zulte-Waregem

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dender (Local)

Prediction 31.28%3.20fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.471%
Kelly -0.689%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.40%31.24%31.28%32.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.973.003.1537.04%33.64%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SV Zulte-Waregem (Visit)

Prediction 40.82%2.45fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.89%40.83%40.79%42.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.262.3847.62%44.23%44.25%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.91%3.58fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -0.665%
Kelly -0.931%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.04%27.93%27.93%29.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.313.5034.72%30.19%30.21%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dender (Local): 31.28%; SV Zulte-Waregem (Visit): 40.82%; Draw: 27.91%. For Dender (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -1.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%EV -1.48%E -0.471%K -0.689%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%EV -4.08%E -1.73%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%EV -1.48%E -0.471%K -0.689%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%EV -4.08%E -1.73%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 17:00
Pinnacle🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -2.73%E -0.879%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.66%EV -2.85%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -4.28%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.14%EV -5.30%E -2.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.14%EV -5.30%E -2.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.33%E -0.665%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 05:30
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 05:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 05:30
1xBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.23%EV -4.30%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.08%E -1.73%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:00
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -6.93%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:00
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -6.93%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:00
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -6.93%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:00
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.93%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 05:35
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:00
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:30
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.93%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:19
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.93%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 16:59
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:00
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:00
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 13:29
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 15:00
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 17:00
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -8.97%E -4.02%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -6.49%E -2.17%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.72%EV -6.53%E -2.85%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -7.35%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 17:00
Suprabets🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.80%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.30%EV -5.30%E -2.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:58
LowVig.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 30.77%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.31%EV -7.75%E -3.43%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 30.77%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.31%EV -7.75%E -3.43%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 16:00
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.82%EV -8.75%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.53%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -11.02%E -5.05%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 10:20
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 10:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.93%E -3.45%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 15:00
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.49%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.43%E -4.44%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.43%E -4.44%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -12.24%E -5.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 17:00
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -12.24%E -5.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.02%EV -15.56%E -5.76%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.89%EV -14.28%E -6.80%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.09%EV -19.63%E -6.82%K -10.44%G +0.000%19.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-04-12 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-04-12 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-04-12 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-04-12 17:00
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-04-12 16:30
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-04-12 15:30