La escuela de los momios

Dender v SV Zulte-Waregem

Inicio: 2026-04-12 17:15 UTC

Final: Dender 1–2 SV Zulte-Waregem

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dender (Local)

Predicción 31.28%3.20momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.471%
Kelly -0.689%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.40%31.24%31.28%32.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.973.003.1537.04%33.64%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SV Zulte-Waregem (Visitante)

Predicción 40.82%2.45momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.89%40.83%40.79%42.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.262.3847.62%44.23%44.25%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.91%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -0.665%
Kelly -0.931%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.04%27.93%27.93%29.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.313.313.5034.72%30.19%30.21%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%EV -1.48%E -0.471%K -0.689%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%EV -4.08%E -1.73%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 17:00
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%EV -1.48%E -0.471%K -0.689%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%EV -4.08%E -1.73%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -3.72%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 17:00
Pinnacle3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -2.73%E -0.879%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.66%EV -2.85%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.22%EV -4.28%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 15:00
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.14%EV -5.30%E -2.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.14%EV -5.30%E -2.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.33%E -0.665%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 05:30
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 05:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.05%E -0.983%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 05:30
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.23%EV -4.30%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.08%E -1.73%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:00
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -6.93%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:00
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -6.93%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:00
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -6.93%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:00
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.93%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 05:35
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -4.61%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:00
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 16:30
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.93%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:19
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.93%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:19
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 16:59
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:00
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:00
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 13:29
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 15:00
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 17:00
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -8.97%E -4.02%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 17:00
Marathon Bet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -6.49%E -2.17%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.72%EV -6.53%E -2.85%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -7.35%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 17:00
Suprabets2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.80%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.30%EV -5.30%E -2.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:58
LowVig.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 30.77%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.31%EV -7.75%E -3.43%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 16:00
BetOnline.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 30.77%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.31%EV -7.75%E -3.43%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 16:00
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.82%EV -8.75%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 17:00
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 17:00
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.53%EV -7.74%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -11.02%E -5.05%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 10:20
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 10:20
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.30%E -3.21%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.93%E -3.45%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 15:00
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 10:20
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:00
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.49%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.43%E -4.44%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.91%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.43%E -4.44%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -12.24%E -5.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 17:00
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.99%E -5.09%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -12.24%E -5.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.70%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.02%EV -15.56%E -5.76%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.89%EV -14.28%E -6.80%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.09%EV -19.63%E -6.82%K -10.44%G +0.000%19.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-04-12 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-04-12 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-04-12 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-04-12 17:00
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-04-12 16:30
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-04-12 15:30