Language:English
Dender v Cercle Brugge KSV
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dender (Local)
Prediction 24.85%4.02fair odd
EV -0.597%
Edge -0.149%
Kelly -0.199%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.03%24.82%24.82%25.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.703.754.0030.30%27.03%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit)
Prediction 50.24%1.99fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.60%50.22%50.35%51.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.841.851.9457.80%54.22%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.91%4.02fair odd
EV -0.375%
Edge -0.094%
Kelly -0.125%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.03%24.96%24.83%27.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.633.604.0033.33%27.56%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dender (Local): 24.85%; Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit): 50.24%; Draw: 24.91%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.375%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -0.597%E -0.149%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -0.375%E -0.094%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 25.11%EV -3.83%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.10%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.79%EV -2.37%E -0.604%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.97%EV -3.83%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.32%EV -3.53%E -1.84%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.71%EV -2.62%E -0.669%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -9.09%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -9.09%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.06%E -4.40%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.54%E -2.95%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.54%E -2.95%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.54%E -2.95%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.54%E -2.95%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.54%E -2.95%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -8.56%E -4.70%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -3.36%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -4.54%E -2.39%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.60%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.60%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.78%EV -7.55%E -4.10%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -11.58%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.78%EV -7.55%E -4.10%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -11.58%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -8.06%E -4.40%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -11.58%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -8.56%E -4.70%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.07%EV -7.31%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -5.54%E -2.95%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.20%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -5.54%E -2.95%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.60%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.60%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 13:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -10.57%E -5.94%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.09%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.66%EV -9.06%E -5.01%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -14.07%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.29%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.96%EV -7.55%E -4.10%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.29%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.56%E -5.31%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.09%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.29%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.56%E -5.31%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.09%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.54%E -2.39%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.70%EV -11.07%E -6.25%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.78%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.58%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.75%EV -11.78%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.50%EV -12.58%E -7.23%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.75%EV -11.58%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.10%EV -7.55%E -4.10%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.06%E -4.40%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.56%E -5.31%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.56%E -5.31%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.58%EV -10.57%E -5.94%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -15.51%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -12.07%E -6.90%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 24.95%EV -17.99%E -5.45%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 47.60%EV -13.08%E -7.56%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.45%EV -25.28%E -8.43%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.80% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |