L’École des cotes

Dender v Cercle Brugge KSV

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 14:02 UTC

Score final : Dender 1–4 Cercle Brugge KSV

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dender (Local)

Prévision 24.85%4.02cote équitable
EV -0.597%
Avantage -0.149%
Kelly -0.199%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.03%24.82%24.82%25.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.703.754.0030.30%27.03%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cercle Brugge KSV (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.24%1.99cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -2.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.60%50.22%50.35%51.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.841.851.9457.80%54.22%54.05%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.91%4.02cote équitable
EV -0.375%
Avantage -0.094%
Kelly -0.125%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.03%24.96%24.83%27.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.633.604.0033.33%27.56%27.78%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -0.597%E -0.149%K -0.199%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -0.375%E -0.094%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 14:00
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 13:59
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 13:55
1xBet3.87I 25.84%NM 25.11%EV -3.83%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.10%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.79%EV -2.37%E -0.604%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-19 13:59
Pinnacle3.87I 25.84%NM 24.97%EV -3.83%E -0.989%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.32%EV -3.53%E -1.84%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.71%EV -2.62%E -0.669%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 13:59
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -9.09%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 14:00
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -9.09%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 13:59
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 13:59
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 14:00
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.06%E -4.40%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.54%E -2.95%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.54%E -2.95%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.54%E -2.95%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.54%E -2.95%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:00
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.54%E -2.95%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:00
BetUS3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:00
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 13:59
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 13:59
BetAnything3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 13:59
Marathon Bet3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -8.56%E -4.70%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -3.36%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 13:59
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -4.54%E -2.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.60%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.36%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.60%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 14:00
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.78%EV -7.55%E -4.10%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -11.58%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.78%EV -7.55%E -4.10%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -11.58%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:00
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -8.06%E -4.40%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -11.58%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 14:00
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -8.56%E -4.70%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 14:00
Suprabets3.73I 26.81%NM 25.07%EV -7.31%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -5.54%E -2.95%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.20%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 14:01
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -5.54%E -2.95%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.60%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 13:59
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.60%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 13:58
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.05%E -3.23%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:00
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -10.57%E -5.94%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.09%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.66%EV -9.06%E -5.01%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -14.07%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.29%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.96%EV -7.55%E -4.10%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 14:00
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.29%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.56%E -5.31%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.09%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 14:00
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.29%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.56%E -5.31%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.09%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 14:01
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.54%E -2.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 13:59
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.85%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:00
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.70%EV -11.07%E -6.25%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 14:00
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.78%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.58%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 13:59
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.75%EV -11.78%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.50%EV -12.58%E -7.23%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.75%EV -11.58%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 14:00
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.10%EV -7.55%E -4.10%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 13:59
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -8.06%E -4.40%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 14:00
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.56%E -5.31%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.34%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 13:59
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 14:00
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 14:00
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -7.05%E -3.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.32%E -4.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 14:00
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.56%E -5.31%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 14:00
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.58%EV -10.57%E -5.94%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 14:01
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -15.51%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -12.07%E -6.90%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -12.83%E -3.67%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-19 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 24.95%EV -17.99%E -5.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 47.60%EV -13.08%E -7.56%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.45%EV -25.28%E -8.43%K -12.64%G +0.000%21.4%2026-04-19 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-04-19 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-04-19 14:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-04-19 14:01
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.80%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%3.5%2026-04-19 14:01