Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 3.73
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Club Brugge (Local): 46.17%; Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit): 27.02%; Draw: 26.81%. For Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.791%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.43%EV -3.97%E -1.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.89%EV +0.791%E +0.212%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.67%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.39%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV -2.72%E -0.756%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.36%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.72%E -0.756%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.72%E -0.756%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.07%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.07%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.07%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.07%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.43%EV -7.20%E -3.58%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.80%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.48%E -0.968%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 05:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.80%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.48%E -0.968%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 05:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.48%E -0.968%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%EV -6.74%E -3.34%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.96%EV -6.97%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 16:02 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 07:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.05%E -4.59%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.05%E -4.59%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.05%E -4.59%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.78%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.78%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.78%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.78%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.43%E -5.38%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -6.78%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -6.28%E -3.09%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.43%E -5.38%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.43%E -5.38%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.58%EV -14.13%E -7.60%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.95%EV -16.89%E -5.45%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 05:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.21%EV -9.05%E -4.59%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.62%EV -8.31%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -11.36%E -5.91%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.40%EV -11.36%E -5.91%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.80%EV -12.74%E -6.74%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -9.51%E -4.85%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.08%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 05:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -13.20%E -7.02%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -13.20%E -7.02%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.49%EV -15.51%E -8.48%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.61%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.90%EV -22.79%E -7.91%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-05-17 06:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 2.0% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |