L’École des cotes

Club Brugge v Union Saint-Gilloise

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 16:30 UTC

Score final : Club Brugge 5–0 Union Saint-Gilloise

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Club Brugge (Local)

Prévision 46.17%2.17cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.77%46.15%46.16%47.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.992.002.1054.64%50.19%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.02%3.70cote équitable
EV +0.791%
Avantage +0.212%
Kelly +0.290%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.47%27.03%27.04%28.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.433.453.7331.25%29.15%28.99%26.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.81%3.73cote équitable
EV -3.48%
Avantage -0.968%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.97%26.82%26.80%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.423.453.6034.72%29.27%28.99%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.43%EV -3.97%E -1.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.89%EV +0.791%E +0.212%K +0.290%G +0.002%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.67%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 16:05
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.39%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV -2.72%E -0.756%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.36%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 16:05
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.72%E -0.756%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 16:04
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.72%E -0.756%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 16:04
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.07%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 16:04
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.07%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:05
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.07%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:04
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.07%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:04
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.43%EV -7.20%E -3.58%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 16:05
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.80%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.48%E -0.968%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 05:00
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.80%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.48%E -0.968%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 05:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 16:05
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 16:04
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.48%E -0.968%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 05:05
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 16:04
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 16:04
Suprabets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%EV -6.74%E -3.34%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.96%EV -6.97%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 16:02
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:14
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.05%E -4.59%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 16:05
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.05%E -4.59%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 16:04
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -9.05%E -4.59%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 16:04
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 16:05
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.78%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 16:04
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.78%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 04:15
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.78%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 04:15
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.78%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 16:05
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.43%E -5.38%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -6.78%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 16:05
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 16:04
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -6.28%E -3.09%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:05
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 05:05
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 16:04
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 16:05
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 16:05
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.43%E -5.38%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 16:05
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.43%E -5.38%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 16:04
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 16:05
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 16:04
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.21%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 16:05
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 46.58%EV -14.13%E -7.60%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.95%EV -16.89%E -5.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-17 16:05
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 05:00
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.21%EV -9.05%E -4.59%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.62%EV -8.31%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -11.36%E -5.91%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 16:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 16:05
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.40%EV -11.36%E -5.91%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 16:05
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.80%EV -12.74%E -6.74%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-17 16:05
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 04:15
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 04:15
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -9.51%E -4.85%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 16:05
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.08%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 05:10
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -13.20%E -7.02%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 16:05
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -13.20%E -7.02%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 16:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.49%EV -15.51%E -8.48%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.61%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.90%EV -22.79%E -7.91%K -12.12%G +0.000%20.1%2026-05-17 16:04
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 05:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-05-17 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-05-17 16:05
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-17 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-05-17 16:05
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-05-17 06:45
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%2.0%2026-05-17 16:05