L’École des cotes

Club Brugge v KV Mechelen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 18:30 UTC

Score final : Club Brugge 6–1 KV Mechelen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Club Brugge (Local)

Prévision 75.76%1.32cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -10.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.91%75.83%75.85%78.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.221.221.2886.21%82.10%81.97%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

KV Mechelen (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.60%10.42cote équitable
EV +20.00%
Avantage +1.60%
Kelly +1.74%
Croissance +0.348%

avec la cote maximale 12.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.77%9.57%9.57%11.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.7510.079.6012.5012.90%9.93%10.42%8.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 14.64%6.83cote équitable
EV +4.23%
Avantage +0.595%
Kelly +0.692%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 7.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.46%14.60%14.59%17.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.366.407.1220.00%15.72%15.63%14.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 78.35%EV -6.06%E -4.88%K -25.24%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77%EV +20.00%E +1.60%K +1.74%G +0.348%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV +2.48%E +0.354%K +0.413%G +0.010%2.9%2026-04-22 18:24
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.35%EV -6.06%E -4.88%K -25.24%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77%EV +20.00%E +1.60%K +1.74%G +0.348%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV +2.48%E +0.354%K +0.413%G +0.010%2.9%2026-04-22 18:24
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.71%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -1.18%E -0.175%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 18:24
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.71%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -1.18%E -0.175%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 18:24
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 76.61%EV -6.81%E -5.54%K -29.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.20%EV -9.23%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:14
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.61%EV -6.81%E -5.54%K -29.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.20%EV -9.23%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:14
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -8.33%E -6.88%K -39.67%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -1.18%E -0.175%K -0.206%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:24
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -8.33%E -6.88%K -39.67%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -1.18%E -0.175%K -0.206%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:24
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -8.33%E -6.88%K -39.67%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -1.18%E -0.175%K -0.206%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:24
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -8.33%E -6.88%K -39.67%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -6.31%E -0.985%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 17:49
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.58%EV -9.09%E -7.57%K -45.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:24
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 77.58%EV -9.09%E -7.57%K -45.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:24
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.58%EV -9.09%E -7.57%K -45.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -10.60%E -8.99%K -58.90%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 18:24
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.57%EV -5.30%E -4.24%K -21.20%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.66%EV +7.52%E +0.671%K +0.737%G +0.055%7.04I 14.20%NM 13.77%EV +3.06%E +0.435%K +0.507%G +0.016%3.1%2026-04-22 18:24
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +5.60%E +0.509%K +0.560%G +0.031%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:22
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.57%EV -11.36%E -9.71%K -66.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +5.60%E +0.509%K +0.560%G +0.031%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.18%EV -6.31%E -0.985%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 18:24
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.46%EV -12.12%E -10.45%K -75.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV +5.60%E +0.509%K +0.560%G +0.031%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -8.50%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 18:24
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.46%EV -12.12%E -10.45%K -75.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV +5.60%E +0.509%K +0.560%G +0.031%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -8.50%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 18:24
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 77.27%EV -6.06%E -4.88%K -25.24%G +0.000%10.33I 9.68%NM 9.28%EV -0.835%E -0.081%K -0.090%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.46%EV +4.23%E +0.595%K +0.692%G +0.029%4.4%2026-04-22 18:19
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.53%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.11%EV -1.60%E -0.156%K -0.173%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:09
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.86%EV -6.06%E -4.88%K -25.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -4.00%E -0.400%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV +2.48%E +0.354%K +0.413%G +0.010%4.9%2026-04-22 18:24
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.06%EV -6.06%E -4.88%K -25.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -4.00%E -0.400%K -0.445%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:24
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.30%E -4.24%K -21.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.00%E -0.400%K -0.445%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -12.16%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 18:24
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -6.81%E -5.54%K -29.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -4.00%E -0.400%K -0.445%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -8.50%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 18:24
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -6.81%E -5.54%K -29.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -4.00%E -0.400%K -0.445%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -8.50%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 18:24
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -4.00%E -0.400%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -15.82%E -2.75%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:14
Suprabets1.23I 81.30%NM 76.08%EV -6.81%E -5.54%K -29.63%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.75%EV -7.84%E -0.817%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -3.38%E -0.512%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:08
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.30%E -4.24%K -21.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 18:09
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -6.06%E -4.88%K -25.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 18:19
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -6.06%E -4.88%K -25.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -8.50%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:08
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -6.06%E -4.88%K -25.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -8.50%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:24
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:10
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.16%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:24
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.16%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:24
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.16%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:24
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.16%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:24
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.16%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:24
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -11.36%E -9.71%K -66.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -12.16%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 18:24
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -3.78%E -2.98%K -14.01%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.30%EV -11.20%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 18:09
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -11.36%E -9.71%K -66.82%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.59%EV -11.20%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -10.70%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 18:19
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.67%EV -3.03%E -2.36%K -10.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -5.30%E -4.24%K -21.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:09
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 76.05%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.64%EV -0.450%E -0.066%K -0.078%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 18:14
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 76.05%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.64%EV -0.450%E -0.066%K -0.078%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 18:19
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 76.05%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.64%EV -0.450%E -0.066%K -0.078%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 18:14
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -12.16%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 18:04
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.03%EV -8.33%E -6.88%K -39.67%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.88%EV -10.70%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 18:09
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.03%EV -8.33%E -6.88%K -39.67%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.88%EV -10.70%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 18:13
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 74.64%EV -12.12%E -10.45%K -75.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.62%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -19.48%E -3.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-22 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.73%EV -5.30%E -4.24%K -21.20%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.68%EV -16.00%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -6.31%E -0.985%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:09
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -9.09%E -7.57%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -18.40%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -15.82%E -2.75%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 72.91%EV -11.36%E -9.71%K -66.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.04%EV -18.40%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -26.80%E -5.36%K -6.70%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-22 18:24
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -23.20%E -2.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48%EV -8.50%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 18:14
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.63%EV -9.09%E -7.57%K -45.44%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.40%EV -25.60%E -3.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.97%EV -13.63%E -2.31%K -2.78%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 18:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.67%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%0.9%2026-04-22 18:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.67%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%0.9%2026-04-22 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.67%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%0.9%2026-04-22 18:24
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.67%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%0.9%2026-04-22 18:19
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.96%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%2.6%2026-04-22 18:24
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 76.93%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.66%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.42%4.0%2026-04-22 18:14