La escuela de los momios

Club Brugge v KV Mechelen

Inicio: 2026-04-22 18:30 UTC

Final: Club Brugge 6–1 KV Mechelen

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Club Brugge (Local)

Predicción 75.76%1.32momio equitativo
EV -3.03%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -10.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.91%75.83%75.85%78.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.221.221.2886.21%82.10%81.97%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

KV Mechelen (Visitante)

Predicción 9.60%10.42momio equitativo
EV +20.00%
Ventaja +1.60%
Kelly +1.74%
Crecimiento +0.348%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.77%9.57%9.57%11.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.7510.079.6012.5012.90%9.93%10.42%8.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 14.64%6.83momio equitativo
EV +4.23%
Ventaja +0.595%
Kelly +0.692%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.46%14.60%14.59%17.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.366.407.1220.00%15.72%15.63%14.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 78.35%EV -6.06%E -4.88%K -25.24%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77%EV +20.00%E +1.60%K +1.74%G +0.348%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV +2.48%E +0.354%K +0.413%G +0.010%2.9%2026-04-22 18:24
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.35%EV -6.06%E -4.88%K -25.24%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77%EV +20.00%E +1.60%K +1.74%G +0.348%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV +2.48%E +0.354%K +0.413%G +0.010%2.9%2026-04-22 18:24
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.71%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -1.18%E -0.175%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 18:24
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.71%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.24%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -1.18%E -0.175%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 18:24
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 76.61%EV -6.81%E -5.54%K -29.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.20%EV -9.23%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:14
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.61%EV -6.81%E -5.54%K -29.63%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.20%EV -9.23%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:14
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -8.33%E -6.88%K -39.67%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -1.18%E -0.175%K -0.206%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:24
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -8.33%E -6.88%K -39.67%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -1.18%E -0.175%K -0.206%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:24
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -8.33%E -6.88%K -39.67%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -1.18%E -0.175%K -0.206%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:24
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -8.33%E -6.88%K -39.67%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -6.31%E -0.985%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 17:49
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.58%EV -9.09%E -7.57%K -45.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:24
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 77.58%EV -9.09%E -7.57%K -45.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:24
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.58%EV -9.09%E -7.57%K -45.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -10.60%E -8.99%K -58.90%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV +10.40%E +0.904%K +0.990%G +0.103%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 18:24
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.57%EV -5.30%E -4.24%K -21.20%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.66%EV +7.52%E +0.671%K +0.737%G +0.055%7.04I 14.20%NM 13.77%EV +3.06%E +0.435%K +0.507%G +0.016%3.1%2026-04-22 18:24
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +5.60%E +0.509%K +0.560%G +0.031%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:22
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.57%EV -11.36%E -9.71%K -66.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +5.60%E +0.509%K +0.560%G +0.031%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.18%EV -6.31%E -0.985%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 18:24
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.46%EV -12.12%E -10.45%K -75.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV +5.60%E +0.509%K +0.560%G +0.031%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -8.50%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 18:24
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.46%EV -12.12%E -10.45%K -75.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV +5.60%E +0.509%K +0.560%G +0.031%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -8.50%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 18:24
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 77.27%EV -6.06%E -4.88%K -25.24%G +0.000%10.33I 9.68%NM 9.28%EV -0.835%E -0.081%K -0.090%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.46%EV +4.23%E +0.595%K +0.692%G +0.029%4.4%2026-04-22 18:19
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.53%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.11%EV -1.60%E -0.156%K -0.173%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:09
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.86%EV -6.06%E -4.88%K -25.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -4.00%E -0.400%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV +2.48%E +0.354%K +0.413%G +0.010%4.9%2026-04-22 18:24
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.06%EV -6.06%E -4.88%K -25.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -4.00%E -0.400%K -0.445%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:24
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.30%E -4.24%K -21.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.00%E -0.400%K -0.445%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -12.16%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 18:24
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -6.81%E -5.54%K -29.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -4.00%E -0.400%K -0.445%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -8.50%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 18:24
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -6.81%E -5.54%K -29.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -4.00%E -0.400%K -0.445%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -8.50%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 18:24
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -4.00%E -0.400%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -15.82%E -2.75%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:14
Suprabets1.23I 81.30%NM 76.08%EV -6.81%E -5.54%K -29.63%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.75%EV -7.84%E -0.817%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -3.38%E -0.512%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:08
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.30%E -4.24%K -21.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 18:09
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -6.06%E -4.88%K -25.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 18:19
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -6.06%E -4.88%K -25.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -8.50%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:08
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -6.06%E -4.88%K -25.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -8.50%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:24
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:10
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.16%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:24
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.16%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:24
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.16%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:24
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.16%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:24
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.16%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:24
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -11.36%E -9.71%K -66.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -8.80%E -0.927%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -12.16%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 18:24
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -3.78%E -2.98%K -14.01%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.30%EV -11.20%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 18:09
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -11.36%E -9.71%K -66.82%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.59%EV -11.20%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -10.70%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 18:19
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.67%EV -3.03%E -2.36%K -10.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -5.30%E -4.24%K -21.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -4.84%E -0.745%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:09
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 76.05%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.64%EV -0.450%E -0.066%K -0.078%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 18:14
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 76.05%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.64%EV -0.450%E -0.066%K -0.078%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 18:19
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 76.05%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.64%EV -0.450%E -0.066%K -0.078%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 18:14
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -12.16%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 18:04
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.03%EV -8.33%E -6.88%K -39.67%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.88%EV -10.70%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 18:09
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.03%EV -8.33%E -6.88%K -39.67%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.88%EV -10.70%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 18:13
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 74.64%EV -12.12%E -10.45%K -75.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.62%EV -13.60%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -19.48%E -3.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-22 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.73%EV -5.30%E -4.24%K -21.20%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.68%EV -16.00%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -6.31%E -0.985%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:09
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -9.09%E -7.57%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -18.40%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -15.82%E -2.75%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 72.91%EV -11.36%E -9.71%K -66.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.04%EV -18.40%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -26.80%E -5.36%K -6.70%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-22 18:24
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -7.57%E -6.21%K -34.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -23.20%E -2.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48%EV -8.50%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 18:14
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.63%EV -9.09%E -7.57%K -45.44%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.40%EV -25.60%E -3.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.97%EV -13.63%E -2.31%K -2.78%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 18:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.67%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%0.9%2026-04-22 18:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.67%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%0.9%2026-04-22 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.67%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%0.9%2026-04-22 18:24
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.67%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%0.9%2026-04-22 18:19
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.96%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%2.6%2026-04-22 18:24
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 76.93%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.66%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.42%4.0%2026-04-22 18:14