Language:English
Club Brugge v KV Mechelen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Club Brugge (Local)
Prediction 75.11%1.33fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -10.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.92%75.23%75.13%77.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.231.231.2986.96%81.38%81.30%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
KV Mechelen (Visit)
Prediction 9.49%10.53fair odd
EV +9.18%
Edge +0.798%
Kelly +0.874%
Growth +0.080%
assuming max odds 11.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.17%9.49%9.35%10.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.259.8710.0011.5012.12%10.14%10.00%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.39%6.50fair odd
EV +7.75%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.100%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.72%15.28%15.51%17.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.206.007.0020.00%16.12%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Club Brugge (Local): 75.11%; KV Mechelen (Visit): 9.49%; Draw: 15.39%. For KV Mechelen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.53. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV +7.75%E +1.11%K +1.29%G +0.100% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV +7.75%E +1.11%K +1.29%G +0.100% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.53%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV +4.43%E +0.403%K +0.443%G +0.020% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +7.75%E +1.11%K +1.29%G +0.100% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.53%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV +4.43%E +0.403%K +0.443%G +0.020% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +7.75%E +1.11%K +1.29%G +0.100% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.68%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 10.39I 9.62%NM 9.23%EV -1.36%E -0.131%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.10%EV +4.67%E +0.686%K +0.805%G +0.038% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.46%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -9.81%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV +4.67%E +0.686%K +0.805%G +0.038% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.64%EV -3.85%E -3.01%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 9.65I 10.36%NM 10.03%EV -8.39%E -0.869%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 6.76I 14.79%NM 14.32%EV +4.05%E +0.599%K +0.703%G +0.028% | 3.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.96%EV -7.61%E -6.19%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.02%EV +3.90%E +0.577%K +0.678%G +0.026% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.96%EV -7.61%E -6.19%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.02%EV +3.90%E +0.577%K +0.678%G +0.026% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +3.90%E +0.577%K +0.678%G +0.026% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +3.90%E +0.577%K +0.678%G +0.026% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +3.90%E +0.577%K +0.678%G +0.026% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +4.43%E +0.403%K +0.443%G +0.020% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV +0.050%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +0.050%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 17:27 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +0.050%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -9.11%E -7.53%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +0.050%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -9.11%E -7.53%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +0.050%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -9.11%E -7.53%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +0.050%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.14%EV -10.61%E -8.92%K -55.86%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV +0.050%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.93%EV -12.12%E -10.36%K -71.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -1.49%E -0.233%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.93%EV -12.12%E -10.36%K -71.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -1.49%E -0.233%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.43%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -2.26%E -0.356%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.10%E -2.41%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -9.81%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.38%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.90%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.12%EV -12.18%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.90%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.12%EV -12.18%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.90%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.12%EV -12.18%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -3.85%E -3.01%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -9.81%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.85%E -3.01%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -9.81%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +4.43%E +0.403%K +0.443%G +0.020% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 17:28 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -12.12%E -10.36%K -71.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.77%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +9.18%E +0.798%K +0.874%G +0.080% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.06%EV -9.96%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.77%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +9.18%E +0.798%K +0.874%G +0.080% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.06%EV -9.96%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -3.85%E -3.01%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -19.30%E -2.27%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -10.72%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -9.81%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -10.72%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.98%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -11.49%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -9.86%E -8.22%K -49.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -11.49%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -9.11%E -7.53%K -43.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -19.30%E -2.27%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -13.80%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.54%EV -9.86%E -8.22%K -49.32%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.70%EV -21.68%E -2.63%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76%EV -13.80%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-22 17:28 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.85%EV -10.61%E -8.92%K -55.86%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.46%EV -20.25%E -2.41%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.69%EV -13.80%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -15.34%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.51%EV -7.61%E -6.19%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -15.34%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 75.18%EV -13.62%E -11.84%K -90.79%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.10%EV -9.81%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.72%EV -15.34%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 73.31%EV -12.12%E -10.36%K -71.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.53%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%EV -23.04%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.49% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.67% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84% | 0.3% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.62% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.38% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.76% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.59% | 2.7% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.10% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.07% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83% | 3.3% | 2026-03-22 17:30 |