La escuela de los momios

Club Brugge v KV Mechelen

Inicio: 2026-03-22 17:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Club Brugge (Local)

Predicción 75.11%1.33momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -2.41%
Kelly -10.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.92%75.23%75.13%77.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.231.231.2986.96%81.38%81.30%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

KV Mechelen (Visitante)

Predicción 9.49%10.53momio equitativo
EV +9.18%
Ventaja +0.798%
Kelly +0.874%
Crecimiento +0.080%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.17%9.49%9.35%10.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.259.8710.0011.5012.12%10.14%10.00%8.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 15.39%6.50momio equitativo
EV +7.75%
Ventaja +1.11%
Kelly +1.29%
Crecimiento +0.100%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.72%15.28%15.51%17.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.206.007.0020.00%16.12%16.67%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV +7.75%E +1.11%K +1.29%G +0.100%3.8%2026-03-22 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV +7.75%E +1.11%K +1.29%G +0.100%3.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 77.53%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV +4.43%E +0.403%K +0.443%G +0.020%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +7.75%E +1.11%K +1.29%G +0.100%4.0%2026-03-22 17:29
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.53%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV +4.43%E +0.403%K +0.443%G +0.020%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +7.75%E +1.11%K +1.29%G +0.100%4.0%2026-03-22 17:29
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 76.68%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000%10.39I 9.62%NM 9.23%EV -1.36%E -0.131%K -0.145%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.10%EV +4.67%E +0.686%K +0.805%G +0.038%4.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.46%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -9.81%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV +4.67%E +0.686%K +0.805%G +0.038%7.2%2026-03-22 17:30
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.64%EV -3.85%E -3.01%K -13.76%G +0.000%9.65I 10.36%NM 10.03%EV -8.39%E -0.869%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.32%EV +4.05%E +0.599%K +0.703%G +0.028%3.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.96%EV -7.61%E -6.19%K -33.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.02%EV +3.90%E +0.577%K +0.678%G +0.026%5.6%2026-03-22 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.96%EV -7.61%E -6.19%K -33.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.02%EV +3.90%E +0.577%K +0.678%G +0.026%5.6%2026-03-22 17:29
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +3.90%E +0.577%K +0.678%G +0.026%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +3.90%E +0.577%K +0.678%G +0.026%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +3.90%E +0.577%K +0.678%G +0.026%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +4.43%E +0.403%K +0.443%G +0.020%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV +0.050%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 17:30
Suprabets1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +0.050%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 17:27
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +0.050%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -9.11%E -7.53%K -43.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +0.050%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:29
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -9.11%E -7.53%K -43.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +0.050%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:29
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -9.11%E -7.53%K -43.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +0.050%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.14%EV -10.61%E -8.92%K -55.86%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV +0.050%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 76.93%EV -12.12%E -10.36%K -71.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -1.49%E -0.233%K -0.276%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 17:29
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 76.93%EV -12.12%E -10.36%K -71.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -1.49%E -0.233%K -0.276%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 17:30
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.43%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -2.26%E -0.356%K -0.422%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:29
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.10%E -2.41%K -10.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -9.81%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.38%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 17:29
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 74.90%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.12%EV -12.18%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:29
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 74.90%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.12%EV -12.18%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:29
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 74.90%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.12%EV -12.18%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -3.85%E -3.01%K -13.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -9.81%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.85%E -3.01%K -13.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 17:30
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -9.81%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:29
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:30
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +4.43%E +0.403%K +0.443%G +0.020%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 17:28
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 17:29
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 17:29
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 17:29
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 17:29
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -12.12%E -10.36%K -71.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 17:30
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 75.77%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +9.18%E +0.798%K +0.874%G +0.080%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.06%EV -9.96%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:29
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.77%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.17%EV +9.18%E +0.798%K +0.874%G +0.080%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.06%EV -9.96%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -3.85%E -3.01%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -19.30%E -2.27%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -10.72%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:29
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -9.81%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -10.72%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 17:30
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 74.98%EV -6.86%E -5.53%K -28.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -0.316%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -11.49%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:30
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -9.86%E -8.22%K -49.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -11.49%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 17:30
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -9.11%E -7.53%K -43.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -19.30%E -2.27%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -13.80%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 17:29
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.54%EV -9.86%E -8.22%K -49.32%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.70%EV -21.68%E -2.63%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76%EV -13.80%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 17:28
Parions Sport (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.85%EV -10.61%E -8.92%K -55.86%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.46%EV -20.25%E -2.41%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.69%EV -13.80%E -2.46%K -3.00%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 17:29
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -8.36%E -6.85%K -38.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -5.06%E -0.506%K -0.563%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -15.34%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 17:30
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.51%EV -7.61%E -6.19%K -33.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -15.34%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 17:30
SportsBet1.15I 86.96%NM 75.18%EV -13.62%E -11.84%K -90.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.10%EV -9.81%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.72%EV -15.34%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-22 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 73.31%EV -12.12%E -10.36%K -71.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.53%EV -14.56%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%EV -23.04%E -4.61%K -5.76%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-22 17:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.49%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.67%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%0.3%2026-03-22 17:30
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.62%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%0.9%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.38%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%1.3%2026-03-22 17:30
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.76%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.59%2.7%2026-03-22 17:30
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 78.10%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.07%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%3.3%2026-03-22 17:30