The School of Odds

Club Brugge v KV Kortrijk

2026-08-07 18:45 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Club Brugge (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -75.19%
Kelly -303.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.83%0.00%0.00%73.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.231.3383%80%81%75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

KV Kortrijk (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -10.26%
Kelly -11.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 9.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.62%0.00%0.00%12.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
7.008.498.759.7514%12%11%10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -18.18%
Kelly -22.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.82%0.00%0.00%18.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.805.085.005.5021%20%20%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.74%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.49%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.77%4.8%2026-07-14 18:18
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%8.7%2026-07-14 19:04
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.31%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.62%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%6.6%2026-07-14 18:18
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 69.96%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.12%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.93%16.2%2026-07-14 18:54
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 69.83%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.27%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.89%16.4%2026-07-14 18:28
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%13.1%2026-07-14 18:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%13.1%2026-07-14 18:19
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 72.89%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.29%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.82%14.3%2026-07-14 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 69.15%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.24%16.6%2026-07-14 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:20