Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Brugge v KV Kortrijk

2026-08-07 18:45 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Brugge (Local)

Prediction 75.42%1.33fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -9.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.05%75.35%75.22%78.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.221.221.2990.09%81.92%81.97%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KV Kortrijk (Visit)

Prediction 9.16%10.92fair odd
EV +14.48%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.182%

assuming max odds 12.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.54%9.22%9.25%11.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0010.2410.0012.5012.50%9.77%10.00%8.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.42%6.49fair odd
EV +7.93%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.105%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.79%15.43%15.53%17.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.256.036.007.0019.05%16.59%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Club Brugge (Local): 75.42%; KV Kortrijk (Visit): 9.16%; Draw: 15.42%. For KV Kortrijk (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.92. 15 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 12.50, producing a positive expected value of +14.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.49%EV -7.23%E -5.88%K -31.44%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.72%EV +14.48%E +1.16%K +1.26%G +0.182%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +7.93%E +1.13%K +1.32%G +0.105%3.6%2026-08-04 17:39
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 78.49%EV -7.23%E -5.88%K -31.44%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.72%EV +14.48%E +1.16%K +1.26%G +0.182%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +7.93%E +1.13%K +1.32%G +0.105%3.6%2026-08-04 17:40
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.83%EV -4.97%E -3.94%K -19.11%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +14.48%E +1.16%K +1.26%G +0.182%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.62%EV -17.51%E -3.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 17:40
Betsson1.26I 79.37%NM 74.83%EV -4.97%E -3.94%K -19.11%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +14.48%E +1.16%K +1.26%G +0.182%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.62%EV -17.51%E -3.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 17:39
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -8.74%E -7.22%K -41.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV +9.90%E +0.825%K +0.900%G +0.089%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV +4.08%E +0.604%K +0.709%G +0.029%5.8%2026-08-04 17:40
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.58%EV -7.23%E -5.88%K -31.44%G +0.000%11.80I 8.47%NM 8.09%EV +8.07%E +0.684%K +0.747%G +0.060%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.33%EV +2.69%E +0.404%K +0.475%G +0.013%4.8%2026-08-03 20:40
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -7.23%E -5.88%K -31.44%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +5.32%E +0.463%K +0.507%G +0.027%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -3.63%E -0.581%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.44%EV -8.74%E -7.22%K -41.61%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +5.32%E +0.463%K +0.507%G +0.027%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV +0.223%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 16:50
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 77.44%EV -8.74%E -7.22%K -41.61%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +5.32%E +0.463%K +0.507%G +0.027%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV +0.223%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.44%EV -8.74%E -7.22%K -41.61%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +5.32%E +0.463%K +0.507%G +0.027%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV +0.223%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 16:50
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 77.44%EV -8.74%E -7.22%K -41.61%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +5.32%E +0.463%K +0.507%G +0.027%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV +0.223%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 16:50
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.04%EV -8.74%E -7.22%K -41.61%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.29%EV +3.03%E +0.270%K +0.296%G +0.009%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -2.09%E -0.329%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 20:39
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +0.742%E +0.067%K +0.074%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +0.223%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 17:00
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +0.742%E +0.067%K +0.074%G +0.001%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.63%E -0.581%K -0.692%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +0.742%E +0.067%K +0.074%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.49%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 16:59
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 76.55%EV -9.49%E -7.91%K -47.46%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -3.84%E -0.365%K -0.404%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -3.63%E -0.581%K -0.692%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 17:39
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.28%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.29%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -3.84%E -0.365%K -0.404%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -11.34%E -1.97%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 19:18
betano_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 75.28%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.29%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -3.84%E -0.365%K -0.404%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -11.34%E -1.97%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 19:18
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 76.43%EV -10.25%E -8.61%K -53.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -3.84%E -0.365%K -0.404%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.91%EV -5.94%E -0.974%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 16:54
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 76.43%EV -10.25%E -8.61%K -53.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -3.84%E -0.365%K -0.404%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.91%EV -5.94%E -0.974%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -11.00%E -9.32%K -61.12%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.61%EV -3.84%E -0.365%K -0.404%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -5.94%E -0.974%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-04 17:39
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 76.36%EV -7.23%E -5.88%K -31.44%G +0.000%10.27I 9.74%NM 9.15%EV -5.94%E -0.579%K -0.641%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.49%EV -0.085%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 20:40
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.72%E -4.58%K -22.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -8.42%E -0.842%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.49%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 19:23
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.72%E -4.58%K -22.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -8.42%E -0.842%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.49%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 00:54
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -5.72%E -4.58%K -22.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -8.42%E -0.842%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -10.57%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 20:44
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.48%E -5.22%K -26.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -8.42%E -0.842%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.49%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 18:49
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.72%E -4.58%K -22.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.42%E -0.842%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.34%E -1.97%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 20:44
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.72%E -4.58%K -22.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.42%E -0.842%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.34%E -1.97%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 20:44
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.72%E -4.58%K -22.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.42%E -0.842%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.34%E -1.97%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 20:44
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -8.42%E -0.842%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.49%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 20:39
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -5.72%E -4.58%K -22.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -8.42%E -0.842%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -19.05%E -3.63%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 17:39
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -8.42%E -0.842%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -15.20%E -2.76%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 20:39
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -11.00%E -9.32%K -61.12%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -8.42%E -0.842%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -7.49%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-31 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -11.00%E -9.32%K -61.12%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -8.42%E -0.842%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -7.49%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-31 20:39
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 76.37%EV -12.51%E -10.78%K -78.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -8.42%E -0.842%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.77%EV -7.49%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-04 17:39
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 76.37%EV -12.51%E -10.78%K -78.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -8.42%E -0.842%K -0.935%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.77%EV -7.49%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-04 17:39
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -2.70%E -2.10%K -9.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -13.00%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.38%EV -3.63%E -0.581%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 00:52
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -3.46%E -2.70%K -12.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -13.00%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -7.49%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 00:54
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -3.46%E -2.70%K -12.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -13.00%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -7.49%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:38
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.31%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -13.00%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.89%EV +3.31%E +0.494%K +0.580%G +0.019%7.4%2026-08-04 19:15
Suprabets1.22I 81.97%NM 75.46%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -13.00%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.85%EV -4.40%E -0.710%K -0.847%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 19:20
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -6.48%E -5.22%K -26.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -13.00%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -13.65%E -2.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 11:57
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -6.48%E -5.22%K -26.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -13.00%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -13.65%E -2.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 74.96%EV -10.25%E -8.61%K -53.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.39%EV -13.00%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.65%EV -12.11%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 07:29
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 75.38%EV -11.76%E -10.05%K -69.15%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -13.00%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.34%EV -11.34%E -1.97%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-31 20:39
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.49%E -7.91%K -47.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -17.57%E -1.95%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.20%E -2.76%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-04 18:50
NetBet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 75.46%EV -16.28%E -14.67%K -148.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.31%EV -17.57%E -1.95%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.23%EV -15.20%E -2.76%K -3.38%G +0.000%19.4%2026-08-04 12:15
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 74.52%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.29%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.33%EV -19.41%E -2.21%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.49%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-03 23:19
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 74.52%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.29%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.33%EV -19.41%E -2.21%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.49%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-03 23:20
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 74.52%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.29%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.33%EV -19.41%E -2.21%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.49%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.05%EV -3.46%E -2.70%K -12.35%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -19.86%E -2.27%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -11.34%E -1.97%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 00:49
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 73.84%EV -8.74%E -7.22%K -41.61%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.21%EV -19.86%E -2.27%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.95%EV -13.65%E -2.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 00:55
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -22.15%E -2.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.31%EV -9.03%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-04 21:45
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 73.34%EV -8.74%E -7.22%K -41.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -26.73%E -3.34%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.57%EV -12.11%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-04 21:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 78.81%12.50I 8.00%NM 8.07%7.69I 13.00%NM 13.12%-0.9%2026-08-04 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 76.40%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.16%3.1%2026-08-04 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 76.40%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.16%3.1%2026-08-04 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 76.40%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.16%3.1%2026-08-04 19:35
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 75.87%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%6.3%2026-08-04 23:15
Arbitrage (8 combinations) +0.20%BetMGM 1.29 (77.7%) / NordicBet 12.50 (8.0%) / ATG (SE) 7.00 (14.3%)Show all 8 combinations
Club Brugge (Local)KV Kortrijk (Visit)DrawMargin
BetMGM 1.29 (77.7%)ATG (SE) 12.50 (8.0%)ATG (SE) 7.00 (14.3%)+0.195%
BetMGM 1.29 (77.7%)ATG (SE) 12.50 (8.0%)Svenska Spel 7.00 (14.3%)+0.195%
BetMGM 1.29 (77.7%)Svenska Spel 12.50 (8.0%)ATG (SE) 7.00 (14.3%)+0.195%
BetMGM 1.29 (77.7%)Svenska Spel 12.50 (8.0%)Svenska Spel 7.00 (14.3%)+0.195%
BetMGM 1.29 (77.7%)NordicBet 12.50 (8.0%)ATG (SE) 7.00 (14.3%)+0.195%
BetMGM 1.29 (77.7%)NordicBet 12.50 (8.0%)Svenska Spel 7.00 (14.3%)+0.195%
BetMGM 1.29 (77.7%)Betsson 12.50 (8.0%)ATG (SE) 7.00 (14.3%)+0.195%
BetMGM 1.29 (77.7%)Betsson 12.50 (8.0%)Svenska Spel 7.00 (14.3%)+0.195%