L’École des cotes

Club Brugge v KV Kortrijk

2026-08-07 18:45 UTC — Belgium First Div

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Club Brugge (Local)

Prévision 72.11%1.39cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -3.08%
Kelly -12.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.60%72.29%72.14%76.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.261.271.3386.96%79.33%78.74%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

KV Kortrijk (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.32%9.69cote équitable
EV +8.37%
Avantage +0.797%
Kelly +0.881%
Croissance +0.074%

avec la cote maximale 10.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.91%10.39%10.20%12.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.758.257.8010.5014.81%12.12%12.82%9.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.57%5.69cote équitable
EV +14.20%
Avantage +2.18%
Kelly +2.58%
Croissance +0.367%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.39%17.31%17.65%19.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.705.265.406.5021.28%19.02%18.52%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (2 issues, contre le format 3 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -12.03%E -9.86%K -54.67%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +8.37%E +0.797%K +0.881%G +0.074%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +14.20%E +2.18%K +2.58%G +0.367%6.9%2026-07-24 07:15
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.56%EV -6.26%E -4.81%K -20.86%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 10.01%EV -1.43%E -0.150%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.43%EV +2.25%E +0.387%K +0.468%G +0.011%4.6%2026-07-25 23:38
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -7.70%E -6.02%K -27.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -1.95%E -0.205%K -0.229%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +1.02%E +0.178%K +0.216%G +0.002%6.0%2026-07-23 06:10
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV -4.01%E -0.431%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -0.732%E -0.130%K -0.158%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 23:34
Suprabets1.28I 78.13%NM 71.88%EV -7.70%E -6.02%K -27.50%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.08%EV -14.33%E -1.73%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 19:03
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -22.59%E -3.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 18:24
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -22.59%E -3.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 20:39
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -22.59%E -3.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 20:39
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -22.59%E -3.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 20:40
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -22.59%E -3.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -22.59%E -3.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 20:40
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -22.59%E -3.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 20:40
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -22.59%E -3.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 20:40
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -22.59%E -3.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 20:40
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -22.59%E -3.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 20:40
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -22.59%E -3.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 20:50
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -22.59%E -3.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 22:38
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -22.59%E -3.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -5.12%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 23:55
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.87%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -12.27%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 06:20
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 72.89%EV -13.47%E -11.22%K -67.34%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.29%EV -12.27%E -1.44%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.82%EV -8.64%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-14 18:15
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 70.88%EV -11.31%E -9.19%K -49.15%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.03%EV -25.17%E -3.47%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.09%EV -10.40%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-24 06:20
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 73.03%EV -17.07%E -14.85%K -113.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.50%EV -17.43%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.47%EV -10.40%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-25 23:39
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -7.11%E -0.790%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 00:49
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -7.11%E -0.790%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 00:44
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -7.11%E -0.790%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 00:45
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -7.11%E -0.790%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 00:45
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -9.86%E -7.89%K -39.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -7.11%E -0.790%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 12:50
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -12.03%E -9.86%K -54.67%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -7.11%E -0.790%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-14 18:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -12.03%E -9.86%K -54.67%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -7.11%E -0.790%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-14 18:19
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.95%EV -10.58%E -8.54%K -44.10%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.28%EV -19.49%E -2.50%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.77%EV -13.03%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-24 06:20
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.06%EV -11.31%E -9.19%K -49.15%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.28%EV -20.01%E -2.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.66%EV -13.03%E -2.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-24 06:19
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.71%EV -4.09%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV -1.95%E -0.205%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.39%EV -14.79%E -3.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 23:34
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 70.71%EV -4.09%E -3.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV -1.95%E -0.205%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.39%EV -14.79%E -3.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 23:34
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 70.45%EV -12.03%E -9.86%K -54.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.46%EV -22.59%E -3.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.09%EV -16.55%E -3.48%K -4.41%G +0.000%16.4%2026-07-14 20:39
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 69.60%EV -12.75%E -10.54%K -60.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.48%EV -30.33%E -4.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.92%EV -17.42%E -3.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-24 06:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 69.98%7.20I 13.89%NM 11.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.16%17.1%2026-07-24 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 58.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 20.97%2.88I 34.72%NM 20.97%65.6%2026-07-25 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 58.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 20.97%2.88I 34.72%NM 20.97%65.6%2026-07-25 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 58.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 20.97%2.88I 34.72%NM 20.97%65.6%2026-07-25 12:50

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Marge ▲Mise à jour
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 88.21%9.50I 10.53%NM 11.79%-10.7%2026-07-24 14:09