Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Brugge v Gent

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Final: Club Brugge 5–0 Gent

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Brugge (Local)

Prediction 64.30%1.56fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.17%64.26%64.31%66.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.451.451.5373.53%69.03%68.97%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gent (Visit)

Prediction 16.86%5.93fair odd
EV +9.61%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +1.75%
Growth +0.168%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.40%16.96%16.94%20.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.345.406.5022.73%18.74%18.52%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.84%5.31fair odd
EV +3.63%
Edge +0.660%
Kelly +0.807%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.70%18.79%18.75%22.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.854.805.5026.67%20.63%20.83%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Club Brugge (Local): 64.30%; Gent (Visit): 16.86%; Draw: 18.84%. For Gent (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.93. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +9.61%E +1.48%K +1.75%G +0.168%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.79%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +4.55%E +0.734%K +0.875%G +0.040%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +4.55%E +0.734%K +0.875%G +0.040%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.23%EV -1.69%E -0.290%K -0.350%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.06%EV -1.27%E -0.242%K -0.299%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.49%EV -8.06%E -5.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -2.20%E -0.379%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.91%E -0.766%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.49%EV -8.06%E -5.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -2.20%E -0.379%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.91%E -0.766%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Suprabets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.49%EV -8.06%E -5.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -2.20%E -0.379%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.91%E -0.766%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:18
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.49%EV -8.06%E -5.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -2.20%E -0.379%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.91%E -0.766%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -6.77%E -4.67%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.640%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.79%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:19
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.640%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.79%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:19
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -6.77%E -4.67%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -6.77%E -4.67%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -8.06%E -5.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.57%E -0.994%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.11%EV -2.96%E -0.576%K -0.714%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 16:20
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.03%EV -2.91%E -1.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.55%EV -7.09%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.42%EV -1.08%E -0.206%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.60%EV -1.63%E -1.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.71%EV -2.02%E -0.389%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.60%EV -1.63%E -1.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.71%EV -2.02%E -0.389%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.47%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -1.08%E -0.206%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.79%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.79%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.79%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.77%E -4.67%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.79%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:19
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -5.49%E -3.73%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -5.49%E -3.73%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:10
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 16:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -13.33%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 16:10
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -8.70%E -6.13%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -13.33%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -7.67%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:19
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -7.67%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.19%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.27%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.98%EV -10.63%E -2.01%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -11.47%E -2.18%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -15.21%E -3.38%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-24 16:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.40%EV -11.27%E -8.17%K -29.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.09%EV -12.31%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -14.00%E -2.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -7.67%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -14.00%E -2.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -7.67%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -14.00%E -2.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -7.67%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:20
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -14.00%E -2.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -7.67%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 16:20
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.30%EV -6.77%E -4.67%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.33%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 16:18
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-24 16:20
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-24 16:19
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.52%EV -12.56%E -9.23%K -34.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -15.21%E -3.38%K -4.35%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -12.56%E -9.23%K -34.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -29.34%E -7.82%K -10.67%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -6.77%E -4.67%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37%EV -16.53%E -3.34%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 16:09
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.74%EV -5.49%E -3.73%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -17.37%E -3.55%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -13.33%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.74%EV -5.49%E -3.73%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -17.37%E -3.55%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -13.33%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.74%EV -5.49%E -3.73%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -17.37%E -3.55%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -13.33%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.99%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -19.06%E -3.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.33%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.89%EV -8.06%E -5.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -19.06%E -3.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -15.21%E -3.38%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-24 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.94%EV -8.70%E -6.13%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.52%EV -19.90%E -4.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -15.21%E -3.38%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.94%EV -8.70%E -6.13%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.52%EV -19.90%E -4.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -15.21%E -3.38%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -6.13%E -4.20%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -24.12%E -5.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV +3.63%E +0.660%K +0.807%G +0.029%8.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.38%EV -6.77%E -4.67%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -25.80%E -5.86%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -0.138%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.44%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.90%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.74%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.97%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 66.89%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.90%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.21%1.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.02%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.53%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%3.0%2026-05-24 16:20