La escuela de los momios

Club Brugge v Gent

Inicio: 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Final: Club Brugge 5–0 Gent

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Club Brugge (Local)

Predicción 64.30%1.56momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -3.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.17%64.26%64.31%66.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.451.451.5373.53%69.03%68.97%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gent (Visitante)

Predicción 16.86%5.93momio equitativo
EV +9.61%
Ventaja +1.48%
Kelly +1.75%
Crecimiento +0.168%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.40%16.96%16.94%20.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.405.345.406.5022.73%18.74%18.52%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.84%5.31momio equitativo
EV +3.63%
Ventaja +0.660%
Kelly +0.807%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.70%18.79%18.75%22.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.854.805.5026.67%20.63%20.83%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +9.61%E +1.48%K +1.75%G +0.168%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.79%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +4.55%E +0.734%K +0.875%G +0.040%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:20
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +4.55%E +0.734%K +0.875%G +0.040%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.23%EV -1.69%E -0.290%K -0.350%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.06%EV -1.27%E -0.242%K -0.299%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:20
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.49%EV -8.06%E -5.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -2.20%E -0.379%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.91%E -0.766%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.49%EV -8.06%E -5.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -2.20%E -0.379%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.91%E -0.766%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Suprabets1.43I 69.93%NM 65.49%EV -8.06%E -5.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -2.20%E -0.379%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.91%E -0.766%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:18
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 65.49%EV -8.06%E -5.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV -2.20%E -0.379%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.91%E -0.766%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:20
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -6.77%E -4.67%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.640%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.79%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:19
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.640%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.79%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:19
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -6.77%E -4.67%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -6.77%E -4.67%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.04%E -0.529%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -8.06%E -5.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.57%E -0.994%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.11%EV -2.96%E -0.576%K -0.714%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 16:20
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 64.03%EV -2.91%E -1.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.55%EV -7.09%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.42%EV -1.08%E -0.206%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 16:20
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.60%EV -1.63%E -1.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.71%EV -2.02%E -0.389%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 63.60%EV -1.63%E -1.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.71%EV -2.02%E -0.389%K -0.481%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.47%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -1.08%E -0.206%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.79%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.79%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:20
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.79%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.77%E -4.67%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.79%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:19
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -5.49%E -3.73%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -5.49%E -3.73%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:10
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 16:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 16:20
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -13.33%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 16:10
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -8.70%E -6.13%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -7.26%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -13.33%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -7.67%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:19
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -7.67%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.19%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -8.94%E -1.66%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.27%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.98%EV -10.63%E -2.01%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -11.47%E -2.18%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -15.21%E -3.38%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-24 16:20
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.40%EV -11.27%E -8.17%K -29.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.09%EV -12.31%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -14.00%E -2.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -7.67%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -14.00%E -2.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -7.67%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:19
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -14.00%E -2.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -7.67%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:20
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.65%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -14.00%E -2.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -7.67%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -4.84%E -3.27%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:20
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 16:20
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 62.30%EV -6.77%E -4.67%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.33%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 16:18
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-24 16:20
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -10.50%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-24 16:19
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 63.52%EV -12.56%E -9.23%K -34.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -15.21%E -3.38%K -4.35%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -12.56%E -9.23%K -34.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -15.69%E -3.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -29.34%E -7.82%K -10.67%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -6.77%E -4.67%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37%EV -16.53%E -3.34%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.56%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 16:09
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.74%EV -5.49%E -3.73%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -17.37%E -3.55%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -13.33%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 61.74%EV -5.49%E -3.73%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -17.37%E -3.55%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -13.33%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 16:20
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 61.74%EV -5.49%E -3.73%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -17.37%E -3.55%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -13.33%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.99%EV -7.41%E -5.15%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -19.06%E -3.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -13.33%E -2.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 16:20
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.89%EV -8.06%E -5.63%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -19.06%E -3.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -15.21%E -3.38%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-24 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 61.94%EV -8.70%E -6.13%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.52%EV -19.90%E -4.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -15.21%E -3.38%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 61.94%EV -8.70%E -6.13%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.52%EV -19.90%E -4.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -15.21%E -3.38%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -6.13%E -4.20%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -24.12%E -5.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV +3.63%E +0.660%K +0.807%G +0.029%8.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.38%EV -6.77%E -4.67%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -25.80%E -5.86%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -0.138%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 16:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.44%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.10%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%0.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.90%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.74%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.97%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 66.89%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.90%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.21%1.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.02%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.53%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%3.0%2026-05-24 16:20