Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Brugge v Anderlecht

Kickoff: 2026-04-06 11:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Brugge (Local)

Prediction 67.61%1.48fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -4.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.86%67.54%67.60%69.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.381.381.4576.92%72.40%72.46%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anderlecht (Visit)

Prediction 13.82%7.24fair odd
EV +9.14%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.121%

assuming max odds 7.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.31%13.87%13.78%15.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.906.706.757.9016.95%14.92%14.81%12.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.57%5.38fair odd
EV +0.295%
Edge +0.055%
Kelly +0.067%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.82%18.59%18.61%21.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.894.885.4025.00%20.45%20.51%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Club Brugge (Local): 67.61%; Anderlecht (Visit): 13.82%; Draw: 18.57%. For Anderlecht (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.24. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.98%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.31%EV +9.14%E +1.16%K +1.32%G +0.121%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.70%EV -3.42%E -0.658%K -0.814%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-06 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.04%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.06%EV +2.23%E +0.302%K +0.349%G +0.008%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.90%EV +0.295%E +0.055%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.04%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.06%EV +2.23%E +0.302%K +0.349%G +0.008%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.90%EV +0.295%E +0.055%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 11:15
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.76%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.34I 13.62%NM 13.11%EV +1.40%E +0.191%K +0.222%G +0.003%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.13%EV -1.38%E -0.259%K -0.319%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 11:15
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.58%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.44%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.05%EV -0.529%E -0.074%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -9.92%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 11:25
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.58%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.44%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.05%EV -0.529%E -0.074%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -9.92%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.53%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -8.99%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.53%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -8.99%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 11:20
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.49%E -0.474%K -0.586%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 11:15
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 10:35
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.49%E -0.474%K -0.586%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:24
Suprabets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.37%E -5.38%K -19.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.28%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:15
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 11:15
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -10.85%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:25
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -10.85%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -10.85%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -10.85%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.44%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.49%EV -4.67%E -0.677%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.07%EV -4.35%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 11:24
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -3.32%E -2.32%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.24%EV -3.32%E -2.32%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.85%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.24%EV -3.32%E -2.32%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.85%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 11:25
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 11:25
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 11:25
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 11:25
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.41%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 11:15
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 10:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 10:35
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -12.71%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -12.71%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 11:15
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -12.71%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -7.37%E -5.38%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -12.71%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.49%E -0.474%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 11:15
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 11:15
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 11:13
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 11:25
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 11:25
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.56%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 11:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.56%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 11:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.72%E -6.46%K -24.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.56%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.72%E -6.46%K -24.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.56%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -12.11%E -9.31%K -40.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-06 11:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.10%EV -10.75%E -8.15%K -33.60%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.06%EV -12.96%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -12.71%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-06 11:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.88%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -13.65%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -8.99%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 11:15
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -10.08%E -7.58%K -30.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -13.65%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -14.56%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-06 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.06%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.95%EV -15.73%E -2.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -10.85%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 11:14
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -17.11%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 11:15
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 66.70%EV -12.11%E -9.31%K -40.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.45%EV -17.11%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.85%EV -14.56%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-06 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 64.86%EV -12.11%E -9.31%K -40.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.05%EV -17.11%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.08%EV -25.71%E -6.43%K -8.57%G +0.000%18.6%2026-04-06 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.63%EV -7.37%E -5.38%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -18.49%E -3.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -5.28%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 11:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.56%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.34%EV -18.49%E -3.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 11:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%0.6%2026-04-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%0.6%2026-04-06 11:25
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%0.6%2026-04-06 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-04-06 11:25
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.97%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.89%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.14%2.1%2026-04-06 11:25
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 67.93%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%2.9%2026-04-06 10:50