La escuela de los momios

Club Brugge v Anderlecht

Inicio: 2026-04-06 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Club Brugge (Local)

Predicción 67.61%1.48momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -4.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.86%67.54%67.60%69.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.381.381.4576.92%72.40%72.46%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anderlecht (Visitante)

Predicción 13.82%7.24momio equitativo
EV +9.14%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.32%
Crecimiento +0.121%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.31%13.87%13.78%15.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.906.706.757.9016.95%14.92%14.81%12.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.57%5.38momio equitativo
EV +0.295%
Ventaja +0.055%
Kelly +0.067%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.82%18.59%18.61%21.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.894.885.4025.00%20.45%20.51%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.98%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.38%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.31%EV +9.14%E +1.16%K +1.32%G +0.121%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.70%EV -3.42%E -0.658%K -0.814%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-06 11:25
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 69.04%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.06%EV +2.23%E +0.302%K +0.349%G +0.008%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.90%EV +0.295%E +0.055%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 11:00
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 69.04%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.06%EV +2.23%E +0.302%K +0.349%G +0.008%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.90%EV +0.295%E +0.055%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 11:15
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.76%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.34I 13.62%NM 13.11%EV +1.40%E +0.191%K +0.222%G +0.003%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.13%EV -1.38%E -0.259%K -0.319%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 11:15
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.58%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.44%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.05%EV -0.529%E -0.074%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -9.92%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 11:25
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.58%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.44%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.05%EV -0.529%E -0.074%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -9.92%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 11:25
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.53%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -8.99%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 11:20
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.53%EV -1.96%E -1.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -8.99%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 11:20
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.49%E -0.474%K -0.586%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 11:15
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 10:35
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.49%E -0.474%K -0.586%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:24
Suprabets1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.37%E -5.38%K -19.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.28%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:15
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 11:15
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -10.85%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:25
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -10.85%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:24
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -10.85%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:25
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.29%E -0.470%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -10.85%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:25
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.44%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.49%EV -4.67%E -0.677%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.07%EV -4.35%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 11:24
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -3.32%E -2.32%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 11:19
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.24%EV -3.32%E -2.32%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.85%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 11:25
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.24%EV -3.32%E -2.32%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.85%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 11:25
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 11:25
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 11:25
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 11:25
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 66.41%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 11:15
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 10:35
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 10:35
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -12.71%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 11:15
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -12.71%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 11:15
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -12.71%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 11:15
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -7.37%E -5.38%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -6.75%E -0.999%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -12.71%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:20
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.49%E -0.474%K -0.586%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 11:15
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 11:15
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 11:15
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 11:13
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 11:25
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 11:25
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.56%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 11:15
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.56%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 11:15
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.72%E -6.46%K -24.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.56%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 11:25
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.72%E -6.46%K -24.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -14.56%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 11:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -12.11%E -9.31%K -40.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -10.20%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-06 11:15
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.10%EV -10.75%E -8.15%K -33.60%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.06%EV -12.96%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -12.71%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-06 11:15
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.88%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -13.65%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -8.99%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 11:15
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -10.08%E -7.58%K -30.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -13.65%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -14.56%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-06 11:15
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.06%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.95%EV -15.73%E -2.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -10.85%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 11:14
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -17.11%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 11:15
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 66.70%EV -12.11%E -9.31%K -40.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.45%EV -17.11%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.85%EV -14.56%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-06 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 64.86%EV -12.11%E -9.31%K -40.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.05%EV -17.11%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.08%EV -25.71%E -6.43%K -8.57%G +0.000%18.6%2026-04-06 11:15
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.63%EV -7.37%E -5.38%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -18.49%E -3.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -5.28%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 11:15
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.56%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.34%EV -18.49%E -3.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 11:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%0.6%2026-04-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%0.6%2026-04-06 11:25
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.51%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%0.6%2026-04-06 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-04-06 11:25
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.97%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.89%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.14%2.1%2026-04-06 11:25
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 67.93%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%2.9%2026-04-06 10:50