Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Charleroi v Westerlo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 14:04 UTC

Score final : Charleroi 0–1 Westerlo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Charleroi (Local)

Prévision 53.64%1.86cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -3.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.59%53.60%53.66%55.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.731.741.8161.73%57.75%57.47%55.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Westerlo (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.09%4.33cote équitable
EV +1.84%
Avantage +0.417%
Kelly +0.539%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 4.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.00%23.15%23.05%24.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.654.004.004.4127.40%24.98%25.00%22.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.27%4.30cote équitable
EV -0.657%
Avantage -0.154%
Kelly -0.201%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.92%23.25%23.29%26.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.903.904.2731.25%25.65%25.64%23.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Charleroi (Local) : 53.64% ; Westerlo (Visiteur) : 23.09% ; Match nul : 23.27%. Pour Westerlo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.33. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.41, soit une espérance positive de +1.84%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.21%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 22.00%EV +1.84%E +0.417%K +0.539%G +0.010%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.78%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.69%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%EV -0.701%E -0.163%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.70%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.69%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%EV -0.701%E -0.163%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.70%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -0.701%E -0.163%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 14:00
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV -1.86%E -0.437%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.57%EV -0.657%E -0.154%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 13:59
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -3.01%E -0.717%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Suprabets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.01%E -0.717%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.29%E -0.544%K -0.714%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.01%E -0.717%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.01%E -0.717%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.01%E -0.717%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.01%E -0.717%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:59
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 13:57
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 13:58
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:59
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.27%E -4.84%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 13:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.12%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.45%EV -6.47%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.43%EV -9.73%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 13:54
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.29%E -0.544%K -0.714%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:59
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -6.66%E -3.83%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 13:59
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -6.66%E -3.83%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 14:00
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.75%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 13:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -11.49%E -6.96%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 13:59
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.29%E -0.544%K -0.714%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 14:00
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:59
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 13:59
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -6.66%E -3.83%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.75%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:51
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.32%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.32%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.32%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.84%EV -11.49%E -6.96%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 14:00
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.09%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -8.27%E -4.84%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -11.09%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 14:00
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -12.75%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-16 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.36%EV -11.49%E -6.96%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -12.75%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -16.24%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -16.24%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.40%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -2.29%E -0.544%K -0.714%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 51.59%EV -13.10%E -8.09%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.29%EV -13.40%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -25.55%E -7.98%K -11.61%G +0.000%19.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -15.71%E -4.30%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.92%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-05-16 14:00
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33%2.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.96%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-05-16 14:00
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%3.4%2026-05-16 14:00