La escuela de los momios

Charleroi v Westerlo

Inicio: 2026-05-16 14:04 UTC

Final: Charleroi 0–1 Westerlo

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Charleroi (Local)

Predicción 53.64%1.86momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -3.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%53.60%53.66%55.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.741.8161.73%57.75%57.47%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Westerlo (Visitante)

Predicción 23.09%4.33momio equitativo
EV +1.84%
Ventaja +0.417%
Kelly +0.539%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.00%23.15%23.05%24.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.654.004.004.4127.40%24.98%25.00%22.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.27%4.30momio equitativo
EV -0.657%
Ventaja -0.154%
Kelly -0.201%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.92%23.25%23.29%26.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.903.904.2731.25%25.65%25.64%23.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.21%EV -3.98%E -2.22%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 22.00%EV +1.84%E +0.417%K +0.539%G +0.010%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.78%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 13:59
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.69%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%EV -0.701%E -0.163%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.70%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.69%EV -2.91%E -1.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%EV -0.701%E -0.163%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.70%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -0.701%E -0.163%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 14:00
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV -1.86%E -0.437%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.57%EV -0.657%E -0.154%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 13:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -3.44%E -1.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -3.01%E -0.717%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Suprabets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.01%E -0.717%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.29%E -0.544%K -0.714%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.01%E -0.717%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.01%E -0.717%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.01%E -0.717%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.01%E -0.717%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:59
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 13:57
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 13:58
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 14:00
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:59
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -5.59%E -3.18%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.27%E -4.84%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.32%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 13:59
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.12%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.45%EV -6.47%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.43%EV -9.73%E -2.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 13:54
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.29%E -0.544%K -0.714%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:59
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -6.66%E -3.83%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:58
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 13:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:00
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -6.66%E -3.83%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 14:00
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.75%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 13:59
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -11.49%E -6.96%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 13:59
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -5.05%E -2.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.29%E -0.544%K -0.714%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 14:00
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 14:00
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.52%E -2.54%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.26%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:59
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 13:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 13:59
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -6.66%E -3.83%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.75%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:51
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.32%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 14:00
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.32%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 14:00
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 52.32%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.84%EV -11.49%E -6.96%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -9.94%E -2.55%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 14:00
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.09%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -8.27%E -4.84%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -11.09%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 14:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 14:00
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -12.75%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 14:00
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-16 14:00
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 53.36%EV -11.49%E -6.96%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -12.75%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -16.24%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -16.24%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.40%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -2.29%E -0.544%K -0.714%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.59%EV -13.10%E -8.09%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.29%EV -13.40%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -25.55%E -7.98%K -11.61%G +0.000%19.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -15.71%E -4.30%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.92%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-05-16 14:00
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33%2.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.96%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-05-16 14:00
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%3.4%2026-05-16 14:00