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Charleroi v Union Saint-Gilloise

2026-09-05 14:00 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charleroi (Local)

Prediction 26.63%3.76fair odd
EV -0.156%
Edge -0.042%
Kelly -0.057%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.45%26.63%26.48%27.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.523.503.7531.25%28.41%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit)

Prediction 46.67%2.14fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -4.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.28%46.67%46.72%47.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.941.922.0553.76%51.57%52.08%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.71%3.74fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.25%26.71%26.80%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.413.353.6031.25%29.35%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Charleroi (Local): 26.63%; Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit): 46.67%; Draw: 26.71%. For Charleroi (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -0.156%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -0.156%E -0.042%K -0.057%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.62%EV -5.73%E -2.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 08:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -0.156%E -0.042%K -0.057%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.62%EV -5.73%E -2.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 08:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -0.156%E -0.042%K -0.057%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.62%EV -5.73%E -2.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 08:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -2.82%E -0.772%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -9.00%E -4.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 08:50
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -2.82%E -0.772%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -9.00%E -4.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -2.82%E -0.772%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -9.00%E -4.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 08:49
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -2.82%E -0.772%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -9.00%E -4.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 08:49
1xBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 08:25
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -9.93%E -5.15%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 08:49
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -10.40%E -5.42%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 08:49
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -10.40%E -5.42%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 08:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -10.40%E -5.42%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -8.14%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.16%EV -11.80%E -6.24%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.86%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 08:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -12.27%E -6.52%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.86%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 08:49
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -12.27%E -6.52%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.86%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 26.48%EV -10.27%E -3.05%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.87%E -5.69%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.80%EV -11.06%E -3.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 08:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -10.40%E -5.42%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 08:58
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.28%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.62%EV -13.20%E -7.10%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -14.53%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-31 08:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -14.80%E -4.62%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.33%E -5.96%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-31 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 22.35%1.54I 64.94%NM 53.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 23.97%20.9%2026-08-31 12:55