默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Charleroi v Union Saint-Gilloise

开赛时间: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

最终结果: Charleroi 2–3 Union Saint-Gilloise

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Charleroi (主队)

预测 28.94%3.45公平赔率
EV -1.59%
优势 -0.467%
Kelly -0.662%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.70%28.97%28.95%30.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.203.233.4033.90%31.21%31.01%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

Union Saint-Gilloise (客队)

预测 43.66%2.29公平赔率
EV -3.95%
优势 -1.80%
Kelly -3.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
42.48%43.63%43.67%45.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.992.122.112.2050.25%47.28%47.39%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.40%3.65公平赔率
EV +0.005%
优势 +0.001%
Kelly +0.002%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.65

博彩公司预测分布
26.38%27.40%27.38%28.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.353.353.6531.75%29.81%29.85%27.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Charleroi (主队):28.94%;Union Saint-Gilloise (客队):43.66%;平局:27.40%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.6498。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.6500,对应+0.005%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 29.26%EV -4.77%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.26%E -2.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 14:15
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -2.73%E -0.770%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:00
1xBet🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.67%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.20%EV -5.70%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -3.56%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 10:39
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.59%E -0.467%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 10:35
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:45
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 20:00
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 20:00
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 10:39
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -1.59%E -0.467%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.77%EV -3.95%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -1.59%E -0.467%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.77%EV -3.95%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -1.59%E -0.467%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.77%EV -3.95%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 20:00
Suprabets🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 29.23%EV -8.25%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.91%EV -7.88%E -3.74%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:13
Marathon Bet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.24%EV -7.88%E -3.74%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 10:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -6.57%E -3.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:14
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -6.57%E -3.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -6.57%E -3.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 10:34
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 10:35
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 10:35
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -10.50%E -5.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 10:35
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 06:59
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 11:15
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 11:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 11:15
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 11:15
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 10:04
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 10:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -3.95%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:00
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 20:00
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.14%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 20:00
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 10:09
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 10:13
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 13:49
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -9.19%E -4.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 10:04
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -12.69%E -6.34%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 10:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.93%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -12.69%E -6.34%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 14:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.50%E -5.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 10:40
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -8.82%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.75%EV -13.12%E -6.59%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 10:35
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -8.82%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -11.72%E -3.84%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 13:50
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -12.69%E -6.34%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 10:35
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -8.82%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 11:14
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -8.82%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 11:14
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -8.82%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -9.63%E -4.65%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 11:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -14.61%E -4.95%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -10.50%E -5.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-04 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -10.50%E -5.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.27%E -3.31%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -10.50%E -5.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 11:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.2%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.2%2026-09-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%2.6%2026-09-04 14:30
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%3.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%5.3%2026-09-04 14:05