Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Charleroi v KV Mechelen

Início: 2026-08-22 16:15 UTC

Final: Charleroi 2–0 KV Mechelen

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Charleroi (Local)

Previsão 56.68%1.76odd justa
EV -0.237%
Vantagem -0.135%
Kelly -0.312%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.58%56.60%56.73%58.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.661.651.7664.52%60.34%60.61%56.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

KV Mechelen (Visitante)

Previsão 19.42%5.15odd justa
EV +2.95%
Vantagem +0.556%
Kelly +0.685%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.77%19.41%19.44%21.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.254.694.725.3023.53%21.30%21.16%18.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.89%4.19odd justa
EV -2.04%
Vantagem -0.497%
Kelly -0.658%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.82%23.99%23.84%26.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.803.804.1028.99%26.32%26.32%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Charleroi (Local): 56.68%; KV Mechelen (Visitante): 19.42%; Empate: 23.89%. Para KV Mechelen (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.15. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.95%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.06%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV +2.95%E +0.556%K +0.685%G +0.020%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -13.99%E -3.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 15:19
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.06%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV +2.95%E +0.556%K +0.685%G +0.020%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -13.99%E -3.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 15:19
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.21%E -2.49%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.11%EV -1.91%E -0.378%K -0.472%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.77%EV -2.99%E -0.738%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-22 15:10
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.34%E -3.20%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -2.88%E -0.576%K -0.720%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.88%E -0.576%K -0.720%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.04%E -0.497%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 15:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -9.31%E -5.82%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -2.88%E -0.576%K -0.720%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.04%E -0.497%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:19
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -8.74%E -5.43%K -14.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -2.88%E -0.576%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 15:20
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -8.74%E -5.43%K -14.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -2.88%E -0.576%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 15:18
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.51%EV -4.21%E -2.49%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.25%EV -3.66%E -0.738%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.24%EV -5.86%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.23%EV -7.61%E -4.67%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -3.85%E -0.778%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.36%EV -9.31%E -5.82%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.59%EV -5.80%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -13.99%E -3.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 15:19
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -3.64%E -2.14%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 11:14
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.01%EV -4.21%E -2.49%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.34%E -3.20%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.72%EV -7.61%E -4.67%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.01%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 15:18
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.71%EV -0.237%E -0.135%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.27%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -8.01%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 11:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.71%EV -0.237%E -0.135%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.27%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -8.01%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 11:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.71%EV -0.237%E -0.135%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.27%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -8.01%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 11:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.34%E -3.20%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:14
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 15:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.34%E -3.20%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 15:19
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 15:20
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 15:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 15:19
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -7.04%E -4.29%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -8.71%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.04%E -0.497%K -0.658%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 15:19
Suprabets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.91%E -3.56%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -8.71%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.79%EV -6.10%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:21
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -7.04%E -4.29%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -8.71%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -7.04%E -4.29%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -8.71%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 15:19
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -7.04%E -4.29%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -8.71%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 15:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.44%EV -8.74%E -5.43%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -8.71%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 11:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -12.14%E -7.83%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -8.71%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 15:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.50%E -1.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:19
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.50%E -1.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:20
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.50%E -1.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.50%E -1.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -9.31%E -5.82%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.65%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 15:19
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.59%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.59%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -8.01%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:15
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.59%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:49
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -9.31%E -5.82%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -12.59%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -11.60%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 15:20
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.31%E -5.82%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -12.59%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.99%E -3.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 15:19
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.01%E -7.01%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -12.59%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -13.99%E -3.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-22 15:19
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.64%E -2.14%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -14.54%E -3.30%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -15.18%E -4.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -9.31%E -5.82%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.54%E -3.30%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 11:14
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -15.51%E -3.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.99%E -3.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 15:35
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -15.51%E -3.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -15.18%E -4.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 15:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -15.51%E -3.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -15.18%E -4.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 15:19
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.64%E -2.14%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -15.90%E -3.67%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.60%EV -5.34%E -3.20%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -16.48%E -3.83%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -16.37%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.58%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.80%EV -17.45%E -4.11%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -17.57%E -5.09%K -7.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-22 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.58%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.80%EV -17.45%E -4.11%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -17.57%E -5.09%K -7.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71%1.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.7%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.7%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.7%2026-08-22 15:20
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.97%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.89%2.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.08%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.1%2026-08-22 15:20