A Escola das Odds

Charleroi v Genk

Início: 2026-05-02 16:15 UTC

Final: Charleroi 2–0 Genk

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Charleroi (Local)

Previsão 35.75%2.80odd justa
EV +0.456%
Vantagem +0.162%
Kelly +0.252%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.10%35.66%35.85%36.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.632.622.8141.67%38.09%38.17%35.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Genk (Visitante)

Previsão 37.45%2.67odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -0.573%
Kelly -0.925%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.11%37.40%37.42%38.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.482.502.6345.45%40.28%40.00%38.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.80%3.73odd justa
EV -1.91%
Vantagem -0.522%
Kelly -0.718%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.77%26.94%26.73%28.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.383.353.6634.72%29.54%29.85%27.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 34.53%EV +0.456%E +0.162%K +0.252%G +0.001%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.96%EV -6.75%E -2.71%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -1.91%E -0.522%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:10
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV +0.098%E +0.035%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.86%EV -1.51%E -0.573%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 15:45
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV +0.098%E +0.035%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.86%EV -1.51%E -0.573%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 15:45
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:45
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:45
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:45
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:45
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:45
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.44%EV -2.40%E -0.881%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.07%EV -2.26%E -0.864%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.66%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 15:50
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.81%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.71%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:10
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.81%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.71%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:44
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:45
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:55
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.12%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 15:45
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 15:55
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 10:10
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -2.63%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 16:09
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -2.63%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 16:10
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:50
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -4.88%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -11.02%E -3.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 16:09
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 15:45
Suprabets2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -5.98%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -5.63%E -2.23%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.40%EV -8.61%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 15:53
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -5.98%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.10%EV -9.00%E -3.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -15.58%E -4.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 15:45
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -5.98%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.10%EV -9.00%E -3.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -15.58%E -4.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 15:45
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 10:11
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 10:10
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:10
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:00
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:04
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:01
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:00
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 10:11
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:55
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:10
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:10
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:10
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:10
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -11.99%E -5.10%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 10:11
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.84%E -3.47%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:45
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -8.84%E -3.47%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.87%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.50%EV -8.07%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 15:50
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.84%E -3.47%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 16:10
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 15:50
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:10
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 16:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 15:45
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 15:45
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.83%EV -11.70%E -4.74%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -11.24%E -4.74%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-02 16:10
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -12.41%E -5.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.87%EV -11.99%E -5.10%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.80%EV -7.54%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 10:11
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -12.41%E -5.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.87%E -6.03%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-02 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.20%EV -14.20%E -5.92%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.31%EV -17.61%E -8.00%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.50%EV -22.81%E -7.92%K -12.13%G +0.000%21.8%2026-05-02 16:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%0.8%2026-05-02 16:10
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-02 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.3%2026-05-02 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.3%2026-05-02 16:10
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-05-02 16:10
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%2.3%2026-05-02 16:10